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Forecast Model Discussion


Model Discussion Guidelines - Please read before posting

As well as the (recently updated) general community guidelines , please read below to ensure your posts in the model discussion threads are on topic and within the specific guidelines for this area. 

A typical, on-topic post into the model thread is likely to contain the following:

  • Discussing, interpreting and commenting on data from weather models.
  • Comparing predictions from different weather models.
  • Making specific weather predictions based on model outputs.
  • Delving into technical aspects of weather modelling.
  • Analysing specific weather patterns shown in model forecasts.
  • Speculating on future weather trends based on model data.
  • Providing educational insights or explanations about how weather models work and how to read them.

Posts which may not fit into the model thread and, therefore need to be posted elsewhere may do one of the following:

  • Making purely emotional reactions to the model output with no context (Eg - The GFS is crap, The ECM is amazing and so on)
  • Talking about TV, web or app-based forecasts and warnings with no current model-related context.
  • Talking about past weather experiences with no current model related context. 
  • Over the top and unrealistic hyping up of model output.
  • Solely moaning about the model output or weather conditions.
  • Complaining about what other members have posted into the model thread.
  • Complaining about moderation within the model thread.

Model threads health warning

The model discussions are open to all and are filled with discussions on the model output from weather enthusiasts. Some will have more knowledge than others, some may get overly excited about the prospect of particular weather types which can lead to exaggerated interpretations and predictions. Some may even post things which aren’t an accurate representation of the models they’re describing. This is the nature of a discussion forum, with differing levels of expertise, along with varying opinions, insights and emotive responses.

The discussions also often look at future trends in various weather forecasting models, which, by their nature, can change dramatically from run to run. When someone posts their view, it is very likely to be a discussion around recent data from the models and is subject to change - eg they aren’t necessarily making a forecast.

If you’re looking for a more concise version of the model discussion, the model highlights thread is available. If you’re looking for a specific weather forecast and not looking to read a discussion, there are many sources of those across the web, including right here on Netweather.


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