Numerical Weather Prediction Models (NWP, Seasonal and Climate Forecasting)

Here are the current Papers & Articles under the research topic Numerical Weather Prediction Models (NWP, Seasonal and Climate Forecasting). Click on the title of a paper you are interested in to go straight to the full paper.

Advances in weather prediction
Published Jan 2019 by Science Magazine.
No abstract. This is a top level, easy-to-read overview.
UNFORTUNATELY NOW PLACED BEHIND PAYWALL.

GFS Operational - Verification stats
Graph of 500hPa geo potential heights - Day 5 verification for the GFS cycles 0z, 6z, 12z and 18z.

The Global Forecast System (GFS) - Global Spectral Model (GSM)
Intro: The following documentation is for the Global Spectral Model, which ran in the GFS from 1980-2019. Documentation on the current GFS (lots of info including resolution etc. Up to March 2021)

The ECMWF Integrated Forecasting System - User Guide
Intro:
The aim of this User Guide is to help meteorologists make the best use of the forecast products from ECMWF - to increase understanding of the ensemble forecast process, to develop new products, to reach new sectors of society, to satisfy new demands. The User Guide presents the Integrated Forecasting System (IFS) and advises on how best to use the output, not least on how to build up trust in the forecast information. A good forecast that is not trusted is a worthless forecast.

Design and implementation of the infrastructure of HadGEM3: the next-generation Met Office climate modelling system

Global Seasonal forecast system version 5 (GloSea5): a high‐resolution seasonal forecast system

Impact of Atmosphere and Land Surface Initial Conditions on Seasonal Forecasts of Global Surface TemperatureThe GloSea4 Ensemble Prediction System for Seasonal Forecasting

The HadGEM2 family of Met Office Unified Model Climate configurations

The challenge of seasonal weather prediction

The quiet revolution of numerical weather prediction

The Met Office Unified Model Global Atmosphere 3.0/3.1 and JULES Global Land 3.0/3.1 configurations

The NCEP climate forecast system version 2

Seasonal forecasting of tropical storms using the Met Office GloSea5 seasonal forecast system

Seasonal sea ice forecast skills and predictability of the KMA's GloSea5

Statement of Guidance for Global Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP)

What Is the Predictability Limit of Midlatitude Weather?