kev238

I think it's still 33 in Nottingham at 9pm. Insanely hot and the hottest I've ever felt in my apartment at this time of night .

It’s pretty bleak and strong winds in Nottingham but nothing too extreme - infact cafes in the city centre had put their outside furniture on the street and it didn’t seem to be blowing away

Strong winds developing in Nottingham now linked to squalls racing throug

If a warning system needs detailed explanation then it’s not going to get messages out clearly / quickly . Here in Nottingham it’s been a wet night and winds starting to increase. Not expecting anything too exceptional here in terms of winds - maybe 60-65 for this area

Also the warnings mean such an inconsistent picture with trains . No trains in Wales but lots of trains scheduled in SE and long distance trains heading south along the east coast at the moment . I know people have been warned not to travel but the easiest way to ensure that is to pause the network

If the public understood the risk matrix, or if it were used more widely / prominently by the met office , then a late escalation makes sense . But the public don’t in general Also reading the text of the red warning it mentions widely gusts to 60-70 , perhaps 80 in a few places mainly by the coast . This doesn’t seem to be vastly different to what was being said / forecast yesterday for these areas yet now it warrants a red warning . It’s crystal clear the warning system is daft as the red should have been issued pre bedtime for those areas . This warning isn’t related to a sting jet phenomenon- I can understand why the met are monitoring that before issuing

The Met Office seem to have this crazy idea that the British public are familiar with their risk matrix. In reality the public consider : red- serious amber - mildly irritating yellow- barely worth worrying over

What happens to schools on red warning days? Do councils shut schools or is it carry on regardless ?

I’m assuming there might be further red warnings to come in next hour or so

Yes there’s been outstanding model consistency with this . Of course small differences of 50 miles will make a large difference to who experiences what but this is going to be a notable event for all south of Sheffield and for a portion of the country could be a 1 in 30 year event

Absolute wind speeds most likely won’t reach 1987 levels but this storm feels similar to 1990 The fact it will be occurring during the day on a Friday - always a busy day- cannot be underplayed I’m fully expecting a pretty large red warning for east anglia, parts of the southern midlands , Severn estuary areas and maybe London Hopefully the public will tune into how bad this storm could be

I think it’s pretty much nailed on that this storm is going to be a once every couple of decades affair and during the day as well I think it’s likely there’ll be a near England wide red warning as gusts of 75-90 seem to be so widespread . In areas where schools aren’t on half term I imagine councils will shut them?

There’s little doubt now that this storm is going to be hugely disruptive , damaging and will pose a significant threat to infrastructure , transport and potentially a significant threat to life . I’ve never seen those white wind gust colours at 48 hrs out in those locations- in addition it’s occurring on a Friday during the day . There could scarcely be a worse day for it to happen either marking the start or end of half term I suspect the red wind warning that is incoming will be large and be for many parts of the current amber warning .

A red is pretty much guaranteed now . Needs to be issued in a timely fashion tomorrow so plans can be amended . I would imagine it would be potentially quite a large red warning especially focused on South West / South East / Wales/ East Anglia / London

It does seem amiss that there is clearly the potential for this to bring the strongest winds for a couple of decades in the southern half of country and yet its not being flagged up to that level. Infact my dad, who follows weather fairly closely and lives in Gloucestershire , believes that Friday will Just be a bit windy