aspire27

Disagree. Dont think there are any downbeat posts.... I think they are realistic posts with regards to the model output. That is nothing notable is being shown, only people chasing week after week something that isnt there or is in deep FI.

Sorry CC but once again you have added a good 'get out clause' in your post regarding cold. There is NOTHING significant showing in the models regarding cold this week. Maybe some wet snow in places. Any real snow limited to N and NE Scotland this week. Please please stop getting the hopes up of 'newer members'. Good post Bristle boy, very realistic. The gradual morph to spring is on it way. My weather station had a maximum of 8.5 degrees today. Sorry but once again, 'severe frosts'??? Dont think so. Severe frost is what the country had towards the end of Dec, early Jan. People now need to realise that we are entering the end of winter and heading for march. Please can we stop the chasing the cold that has never really been showed this month. The only real cold has been in FI, and as FI neared it was downgrades all the way as I said and got slated. As per last week regarding the 'easterly'. So this week some wintry PPN about the country, any snow and cold weather is in N/NE Scotland. Hope people start to realise this and stop chasing something that has not ever been consistanlty modeled.

Having a -AO dosent mean a cold spell is heading our way. This has been explained so many times here. Again there is no real cold in the models, very disappointing again. Another week will pass waiting for a trend to cold to appear in the Models, all the while we are heading towards march. Sorry CC, but the above post is only a hopecast.

Sorry Robert, but you have said these things before. Currently I can only see wet wet wet unless your in Scotland on a hill. Looks like this winter will finish on a wet note.

Looks like something much more interesting in the charts today. Lets hope we see this trend continue with these charts being brought into the reliable.

Wow 13 posts since midnight. Seems to me, as i said before, that this month has been a case of chasing the cold that has never been in the reliable time frame. Looks like the rest of the month will be the same, with only 18 days of winter left (in my book) this Feb is going out with a big wimper. A very big turn around in the models (showing in the reliable) is now needed, looking at charts in FI caught us out last week in regards to this weeks downgrades and again last night and on moday people saying next week is the week to watch. Chasing cold in FI is mad, if we cannot get any cold in the reliable nailded first. IMBY this week has been fine dry and sunny so far with temps just below average, feels like spring in the sunshine....out of the wind mind you.

Temp 5.5 today Just dropped to 4.1 in hail sleety shower EDIT: dropped to 3.8

Sorry but have to agree with Lewis. He has a good point and thats how he sees the models and what he thinks will happen. If the ECM shows the same I think Lewis will have his trend.

Nothing but damp drizzle about this week with temps around 3-5 degrees all week. Really at this point nothing that cold coming our way or snow. Looking like the atlantic will come steaming in next with the models going for a west based -ve NAO. Models downgrading every day now, even FI looks like poor now.

Nothing exciting for the rest of week up to friday with that HP stuck NW of Scotland looking at the 6z run. It seems to me and im sure lots of you will disagree but run after run now seems to be a downgrade for us in the UK. EDIT: Also next week the models are going for a west based -ve NAO which could let the atlantic straight back in. This colder spell could be long gone by next week.

Sounds like the easterly is non existance at the moment with regards to its potentness. Last nights fax charts didnt seem amazing, a NE flow with showers across the east, dry with sunny spells out west with temps just below average at least until the end part of the week. This week looks like turning out a different from what last weeks charts predicted. Lots of people looking to next week now for more cold and snow which is just crazy. This must be due to this week not turning out to be as cold or snowy as most would of liked. Might even feel spring like in the sunshine out west this week. I hope more cold and snowy synoptics turn up in the reliable rather than just slight downgrades in the reliable and people still chasing the FI.

Not much in the way of PPN for us according to Ian (thanks for the update Ian). Worrying that the PPN moves further norh in the longer term outlook. Got a horrible feeling the SW will only get decent snow from a breakdown due to the atlantic coming in. But this is far far FI, and not modeled yet.

Do you have any charts showing this snow event? Thanks.

Thank you for all your efforts to prove me wrong. Maybe i should check my wireless thermometer, must be reading high.. Oh and that last link, is for bristol airport...quite high if you ask me at 180m ASL. lol

Sorry but its not 4 degrees here. As i said 7.5 highest today. Been discussing temps on the SW regional thread and people have been recording the same. So as you said, and as i said the models last thursday were showing temps of 3-4 degrees for today....im just saying its not that cold thats all.