At moment the models are showing two heavyweights ready to go at it.
On the one side is the deep Atlantic low versus the Beast on the other. It's like Rocky 4 - Eastern seaboard New Yorker against the mighty Siberian.
At the moment they are locked in a slugfest first round and neither gives an inch. The battleground remains in the North Atlantic.
If either side weakens - we in Wales will probably win:
If the Beast weakens, the low can gain some mileage Eastwards. We would hope that the Beast puts up a decent fight though and stalls the low right here
If the low weakens, it will disrupt and get squeezed Southeastwards. That's our slider.
Scenario 1 looks unlikely, so it's 2 we're probably looking for. Problem is that the longer the fight goes on, the more likely the stalemate, as the low gets all his mates from the South to keep the opponents apart and the fight gets stopped with a points draw. I still reckon there's a chance of scenario 2 but we will probably need to see it within the next 48 hours on ECM at the very least. (Can't believe i want Rocky to concede mind!)