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Kentish Snowman in Yorks

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Everything posted by Kentish Snowman in Yorks

  1. Kentish Snowman in Yorks
    Turning more to snow here but not expecting much if any of it settling due to my bad altitude
  2. Kentish Snowman in Yorks
    The latest 6z GFS ensembles look colder both in the short term and from 20/1 onwards compared to the 0z set. Signs that the jet will maintain a bit more of a Southerly latitude going forwards as anticipated (in some quarters)?
  3. Kentish Snowman in Yorks
    And what if said raging jet passes to the South of the UK? Possible multiple snow opportunities?
  4. Kentish Snowman in Yorks
    Surely potential for lows of the polar variety to form in a flow that cold?
  5. Kentish Snowman in Yorks
    Big upgrade on the pub run (short ensembles) if cold is your thing
  6. Kentish Snowman in Yorks
    The trendsetter for the pub run -18 850s for our part of the world....
  7. Kentish Snowman in Yorks
    @bluearmy that ECM run surely means..... "We're gonna need a bigger envelope"
  8. Kentish Snowman in Yorks
    This pub run doesn't see positive uppers getting any further north than around a line from Manchester to Hull before diving South again. Better than the 12z and again highlights the risk of battleground snow. I still think the cold will stay much further South than what the GFS is showing regardless. Interesting times
  9. Kentish Snowman in Yorks
    UKMO with a powerhouse Northerly straight into France no messing. Bosh!!
  10. Kentish Snowman in Yorks
    Any chance of the odd snow shower crossing the region later on tomorrow? Seen a couple of models which highlight the risk? Temperatures and dew points look favourable
  11. Kentish Snowman in Yorks
    I would be interested to hear the thoughts of @Cheshire Freeze today as I know he has been bullish about our cold prospects over Christmas and particularly into the new year period? Charts seem at odds with his expectations resulting from the background drivers especially the Iberia / Euro heights?
  12. Kentish Snowman in Yorks
    I don't know which output you are referring to when talking about the ECM as the difference between last night's run and this morning's is night and day? Last night's run looked decent with a Greenland wedge if you're of a cold persuasion and this morning's is well....the less said the better!
  13. Kentish Snowman in Yorks
    I thought low heights / thicknesses were conducive to polar low formation? Looks like a turbulent 'high impact' spell of weather coming up over Christmas though regardless!
  14. Kentish Snowman in Yorks
    No expert but would the low thicknesses on that chart not make conditions more favourable for snow?
  15. Kentish Snowman in Yorks
    Agreed. With the potential proper breakdown of cold still some 120 hours away I don't think we have seen the end of the drama yet. ECM to pull out a corker the pub run follows up and then we will be bought back down to earth on the morning runs you watch!
  16. Kentish Snowman in Yorks
    Yeah but is it right? The actual weather might have other ideas? Intriguing output to keep us on the edge of our seats at least. Fully expecting another swing back to extended cold on this afternoons runs as I just cannot see that cold over Scandi being shifted so easily...
  17. Kentish Snowman in Yorks
    Atlantic hits the
  18. Kentish Snowman in Yorks
    Wow that ECM! Almost the Easterly that a certain poster from Crewe has been touting for a while. Fair play if it comes off!
  19. Kentish Snowman in Yorks
    The milder breakdown seems to have been at Day 5 for like three days now?!
  20. Kentish Snowman in Yorks
    Tamara's high impact weather coming to fruition on this run? It looks like this soap opera is going to run and run!
  21. Kentish Snowman in Yorks
    Weather warning extended for snow and ice tonight to include South and West Yorkshire and into the East Midlands
  22. Kentish Snowman in Yorks
    Heads up to those in the North York Moors and East Yorkshire region. incoming?
  23. Kentish Snowman in Yorks
    An icing sugar coating of snow here. Pathetic but I'm surprised we got even that! When we will get a big fall of snow here in Yorkshire? It's well overdue!
  24. Kentish Snowman in Yorks
    Any interest for our part of the world this week Scott? I see there is some kind of feature that could track close to us on Friday?
  25. Kentish Snowman in Yorks
    Not expecting anything here at only 50m elevation tonight. Any precipitation looks light and so just light rain looks favoured
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