My least favourite weather type, cold rain and windy yuk. + come the time it would be much more modified and snow falling much less widespread than what is shown.
That's a sad amount off snow in Europe for Mid-Winter
Opps that's snow fall probabilitie still is poor fir Western Europe https://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?ech=6&code=0&mode=16
I wish sometimes SSW did not exist, because soon as it turns mild posts appear proclaiming with out a SSW event winter is over.
My opinion is way to much emphasis is placed on them its just one piece in a 1,000000 and hugely complicated piece jigsaw.
.? It's about average if not slightly below compared to the ens
https://www.meteociel.fr/cartes_obs/ecmwfens_display.php?x=274&y=54&run=12&type=2&runpara=0&mode=1
You never know? If a similar pattern change like that does occur at some point. It's possible that it may crop up at shortish range.
Worth keeping an 👁 on.
Meteociel - Cartes Ensemble GFS (ENS/GEFS)
WWW.METEOCIEL.FR
meteociel propose des rubriques météo temps réel, forums, modeles...
And p30 has a hurricane like low approaching the Bay of Biscay
Meteociel - Cartes Ensemble GFS (ENS/GEFS)
WWW.METEOCIEL.FR
meteociel propose des rubriques météo temps réel, forums, modeles...
p15 on the GEFS.
The UK has disappeared, as has my shed,roof and fence
A few positive signs from that, even though the vortex of doom is raging away. Is heights finally falling to the south and things settling down with frost 'n' fog returning.
Great vid thanks.
The 40C in July was historic and even though I'm not a heat lover, to experience 40C was the the most epic weather event Ive experienced. Happy New year, here's to -40C and 40inch of snow in 2023
The heights to the south are relentless, is a brief glimmer off hope in the 18z gfs of them ridgeing north but are soon flattened and its back to square one
https://www.meteociel.fr/modeles/gfse_cartes.php?&ech=228&mode=0
It's New-years day not pancake day GFS, is flat as a pancake.
Happy New year To you all
It tells you here
Unified Model
WWW.METOFFICE.GOV.UK
The Unified Model (UM) is a numerical model of the atmosphere used for both weather and climate applications.
Hope that helps.
You can use the argument that a cold spell can soon appear and I agree, but to each example of a cold spell appearing out of no where,there are 10 that show it wiping out a month of Winter with wind and rain, as that's the default winter pattern for the UK.