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Everything posted by WheresTheSnow
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Model Output Discussion - Mid Summer Onwards
WheresTheSnow replied to Paul's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The UKV showing a lot of cloud cover for tomorrow, as per the image below. I imagine that the ECM is not predicting as much cloud cover with the 34c I’ve seen mentioned above? -
Are there any other models that forecast cloud cover, other than UKV? Had a look through but couldn’t find one. Strangely enough, the Met Office video forecast did not mention too much in the way of cloud tomorrow, other than the far East & SW, but the website shows cloud over London…
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Id planned to be out enjoying the sun tomorrow but I’ve just seen the same. Met Office going with cloudy & BBC going with clear blue skies - BBC had it right on Sunday so fingers crossed. The UKV doesn’t look too convincing unfortunately though, showing cloud cover too
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So who’s going to be correct this weekend, BBC Weather or Met Office? Met Office has it being cloudy tomorrow & Sunday, whereas BBC has sunny intervals tomorrow & sunny on Sunday. The UKV this morning looked like broken cloud both days rather than thick cloud both days.
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Summer really doesn’t feel like it’s kicked on this year, and doesn’t look as though we’ll be seeing a prolonged plume anytime soon, sadly. June looks to have been the peak. Time to get out & enjoy the sun that we do have today! Off to Northern Italy for a few days next week where it looks as though it’s going to be 36/37c - that will be a shock to the system…
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Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
WheresTheSnow replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Been sunny all day so far in Watford but now dark clouds above head. No idea if this area is expecting thunderstorms this afternoon / evening though. -
Spring 2023 - Moans, Ramps & Chat
WheresTheSnow replied to reef's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
Having just driven from London which was completely cloudy to Hemel, it is now clear blue skies surprisingly. I can also second Italy having a bad start to May having visited Palermo & experiencing only 1 sunny day. One day of torrential rain, and the others were grey / rainy. -
Model Output Discussion - Autumn arrives
WheresTheSnow replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
From 12/13c showing on the 12z to mid twenties on the 18z in the South East for next Wednesday. Quite a contrast for the middle of next week. Surely the former won’t come to fruition considering we’re essentially a tropical island now -
Model Output Discussion - Autumn arrives
WheresTheSnow replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Mentions of a quicker breakdown on the GFS however it shows high 20’s for most of next week on the 12z? (apart from the NW & parts of the West) Is the breakdown being referred to in relation to the extremely hot temps clearing? -
Model Output Discussion - Autumn arrives
WheresTheSnow replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
The last 2 or 3 GFS runs seem to have decreased this Fridays temperatures to around 23c from around 29/30c yesterday morning. I don’t have access to UKMO and ECM surface temps, does anyone know what they’re predicting for Friday? -
Competition: How hot is it going to be?
WheresTheSnow replied to Paul's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
38.9c to be recorded next Sunday - pip the 38.7c record from 2019. -
Storms and Convective discussion - 1st May 2022 onwards
WheresTheSnow replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
FullSizeRender.MOV Gone completely silent here now, though I managed to capture a few flashes, not great quality though. -
Storms and Convective discussion - 1st May 2022 onwards
WheresTheSnow replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Head up Dodds Lane in Hemel if you stick around, it’s a small country Lane but it’ll give you a higher vantage point, and I’m pretty sure there’s some areas you can pull over. -
Looking at the ECM at the timeframe Monday 00:00, the +10 T850 is miles further North in comparison to the GFS at the same time. Looks as though we'd at least get another good day out of that on Monday. Surely we cannot assume the GFS solution is going to be correct for very early next week when the ECM is going with this.
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Had a covering on all paths and roads overnight in Hampstead from the band of PPN that crossed around 3/4am. That was more than I expected so can’t complain. It’ll be a shame if there isn’t a widespread snow event for this region before the end of this cold snap, the snow 2 weeks ago was much more exciting and it melted by the evening! Enjoy the large amounts of snow everyone to the East