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Canalboy

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  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    Upminster Bridge London Borough of Havering 40m above sea level
  • Interests
    Wine, wine, more wine. Arsenal. 1970s.
  • Weather Preferences
    Siberian

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  1. The best female weather presenter in my Meteorological book was Barbara Edwards. From the halcyon days of the stick on symbol.
  2. To play a well worn record, Greenland / Icelandic highs almost never deliver decent amounts of snow or extreme cold to the lowland SE. Scandanavian highs are of course the Holy Grail to us; an E / NE blowing from a frigid continent have become more and more elusive over the last thirty years or so. These types of high pressure were always rare aves particularly in December and January but these days they are about as common as female train spotters. Until I see any sign of pressure rises over this region I will remain underwhelmed.
  3. Let's hope the Yanks have called this one wrong and the wrecking ball of low pressure that has appeared on the GFS for the 23rd is wrong. This has previously been tracked further north but if that verified as shown the block would be flattened like a sapling in a gale. Fingers and other protruding parts well and truly crossed that it is not showing on the other models later.
  4. I remain underwhelmed by the prospect of a Greenland High as is being mooted by the models for next week; they seldom provide anything better than 5 -7 degrees and cold rain for the SE. This is based on empirical observation over the years. Even Icelandic highs tend to produce little in the way of proper wintry conditions down here. The track is just too far (less of a northern ice pack these days as well) and too mild by the time it reaches us. Give me a Scandinavian High, now that is the holy grail. NE, ENE or E winds off a cold continent really do cut the proverbial mustard.
  5. Yamkin you are perfectly correct. Dr. David Viner of the Climatic Research Unit said in 2000, and I quote : “Children just aren’t going to know what snow is.” Similarly, David Parker, at the UK’s Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research predicted exacly the same thing, averring unequivocally that "virtual snow" would soon be the only way British children could experience this meteorological phenomenon. I could throw in a whole host of other pseudo Cassandrine statements ranging from erstwhile Education Secretaries to the Sindie newspaper, but this old line has become as tired as the earnest doom mongers from the seventies who told us that Europe would be under ice sheets in fifty years time. I clearly remember watching a World About Us programme on BBC2 in 1976 wh9ich averred this as a certainty. I think the big problem is that a lot of people think they live on the cusp of some great catastrophe which, of course, never quite seems to happen, viz. Scared To Death by Christopher Booker.
  6. Another annoyance is the way the PV so soften avoids the Siberian side these days; North America's gain is so often Europe's loss nowadays. During the fabulous January 1987 event down here seventy plus fahrenheit was recorded in the Eastern US I recall. I know it is possible to get cold weather in both the Eastern US and Europe but they are rare synoptics.
  7. Until we see a definite pressure rise over the Scandinavia we'll receive little if anything wintry in the low lying South East, certainly East and South of London. Greenland highs are fine for further North but for us North Westerlies (and increasingly Northerlies too) are normally marginal at best; they tend to have too much warm air mixed in with them unless they are very deep or further towards the NE. Northerlies also have a longer sea track these days than in decades gone by due to ice melt. I am old enough to remember snow fests of the past down here including 1978-79, 1981, 1987 and 1991 and the one thing that they all had in common is high pressure over Scandinavia pulling in winds from the NE /ENE/ E. For some reason in the last twenty or so years highs in that region have become rarae aves indeed. And yet in spring the Scandinavian highs often magically return. Ironically the one time this winter when we did manage an Easterly the continent was very mild. I have yet to see a single flake of snow this winter and I know that there are plenty of others in the same flooded boat and I'm expecting nothing wintry today neither.
  8. A poor show by the BBC again for this locale (and by one remove the Meteo Group and ECM) as it has been light rain in Holland On Sea at my mother's since the first drops at 3:30 pm. Their web site is as useful as a pair of gloves on a twice convicted Saudi Arabian shoplifter. Not even a vestige of sleet. The Sisyphean quest for the first flake of snow this winter continues and I have been peregrinating between Upminster and here throughout. I
  9. I can confirm zero snow in Holland On Sea two miles from Clacton in answer to your question Certainly dew points are low enough we just need some North Sea convection. An Ice day today.
  10. Typical. A fortnight ago I was at home in Upminster and it was snowing in Holland On Sea. Today I am in Holland On Sea and it is snowing in Upminster. It must be my warm personality.
  11. Nice one mon fils. I am glad that there is another calm soul who will read the facts rather than shake his hands. Global Warming is a myth.
  12. According to a dispassionate observer of my acquaintance, and my heart and virtual bucket go out to all of those wallowing under water, from a purely empirical position no month so far this winter has approached the 218 mm of rain that fell in October 1903, and the total rainfall of November 1929, December 1929 and January 1920 was 812 mm. At the present rate, the rainfall for January, February and February, will be in the order of 650 mm; such levels are not unprecedented. Long before Prince Charles started fiddling with his green leaning cufflinks or Al Gore hove into view.
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