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SuttonStorm

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  1. SuttonStorm
    Some incredible updates from NW States here : http://www.hpc.ncep....ns/nfdscc4.html I have absolutely no idea what seeing that amount of snowfall would be like - amazing (note those depths are in INCHES!) SS
  2. SuttonStorm
    It seems incredible that I was worried about the lack of snow just over a week ago. Have just checked the webcams again (becoming a bit of a junkie!) and it is still throwing it down. NW extra radar shows a huge amount to come too! - will be amazing to experience when (if!) we make it there. SS
  3. SuttonStorm
    Dan - I don't think the timing could be better tbh - looks like it will snow all day thurs, very heavy on friday, and all day saturday. I wouldn't be surprised to see over 100cm FRESH snow on top of what is there now by Sunday, and then it turns super-cold. Cant wait :-)))) Dont envy you with the drive down though.....hope you got your snowchains? SS
  4. SuttonStorm
    John - I am heading for the French Alps on Sunday (Courchevel) - I know people there and the snow is fantastic there now. The word locally is that they are expecting BIG snow over the next four days (maybe a bit wet lower down until thurs) - I hope all the roads will be open!!!!! SS
  5. SuttonStorm
    and given the tendency of the GFS to over-egg the depth of the LPs would indicate a more southerly track in reality? SS
  6. SuttonStorm
    I seem to remember from discussions last year, that the intensity of a storm has a bearing on its path. If I have got it right, a deeper storm will take a more northerly track whereas a slacker LP will track further south - not sure if anyone can confirm? SS
  7. SuttonStorm
    Three valleys: http://livecam.courchevel.com/index.php?webcam=4&langue=3 SS
  8. SuttonStorm
    I must admit, I am feeling much happier today :-) Another big dump expected from tuesday evening (too lower levels than today too) lasting for most of wednesday - will make a good base to work on. Heading out on the 18th so lots more please Good cam for the three valleys: http://livecam.courchevel.com/index.php?webcam=4&langue=3 SS
  9. SuttonStorm
    French and Swiss Alps getting a pounding from this run, and (I think) the Canadian & US troughs look like they will link hands and do a merry dance :-) SS
  10. SuttonStorm
    Nick which frame does it appear...make sure I am looking at the right one? SS
  11. SuttonStorm
    NIck - I imagine you are slightly happier regarding your skiing prospects now - looking quite wintry next weekend in your neck of the woods! SS
  12. SuttonStorm
    Where are you viewing the 12z UKMO? It's still the 00z on Wetter and here on Netweather it hasn't updated for days? SS
  13. SuttonStorm
    Thanks Julian - an interesting read. The divergence of the 850 temps was interesting and at the same time hard to understand (for me anyway) - why is there so much variation or are you indicating the possible range? SS
  14. SuttonStorm
    Just when everybody seems to be in the depths of depression AFTER JUST ONE RUN the ECM come to our rescue edit - sorry, tried to post the image from 193 ECM but failed miserably SS
  15. SuttonStorm
    Hi Julian - firstly I would like to thank you for the input you have had on this site. I personally think the freezing level is a more useful indicator than the 850Hpa temp, as that gives me a good reference to start from. I would certainly appreciate the increased detail from region to region showing the progression of weather (pretty much as you have given above). Also, a general summary of the models and what they are showing over a longer period (and your thoughts on how much credence they can be given with their output) would be very useful (a bit like Gibby does but more longer range?) I am trying to learn and look at the broader pattern and how things are progressing at the moment with the season approaching and would love some guidance on the synoptic patterns to look for etc. Hope this isn't too much! SS
  16. SuttonStorm
    That's better :-) The pub run has sent me to bed with dreams of snow covered Alpine peaks :-) SS
  17. SuttonStorm
    Yes please JMA.....not too much to ask?
  18. SuttonStorm
    Nick - not sure why but I am feeling a little more optimistic tonight (as said in the Alpine thread) with the models showing a downward trend in both pressure and temp for Bern (that is the closest venue to the Alps I can find unless you know better?). The only caveat being this trend has been pushed back 2 -3 days with the eurohigh deflecting any possible incursion north/north west. Small steps................ SS
  19. SuttonStorm
    I feel it is now time for some blind optimism in the hope that if sufficient people think positively, the pesky eurotrash high will bugger off westwards towards the Azores where it belongs, and allows it's good cousins from the family Low Pressure to visit the Alps for a while, accompanied by their best friend E/NE wind. All joking aside, I do feel a little more confident tonight (albeit from a very low starting point) that the turn of the month will see an improving picture over the mountains - the ensembles this evening (GFS) show the majority with a significant pressure fall (Bern) come 1st Dec with associated fall in 850s and 2m temps. Julian - please give us some more straws to clutch! SS
  20. SuttonStorm
    Décembre : progressivement plus froid et perturbé Temps plus agité avec le retour des perturbations océaniques, en alternance avec des journées froides, pouvant entraîner des chutes de neige épisodiques en plaine. A l'heure actuelle, l'anomalie de température envisagée semble tout de même moins marquée que l'année dernière à la même époque. Une période particulièrement froide est envisagée pour Noël. La neige devrait être au rendez-vous dans les stations pour les sports d'hiver des vacances de Noël. Now that is something quite detailed and specific - will keep a close eye on that (I especially like the line about Noel as I will be there then! :-) ) Thanks for the link SS Edit - I will PM Nick Sussex to see how much credence they can be given
  21. SuttonStorm
    Hi Nick At this time of year my interest in the models tends to focus more on the Alps, and with the state of the slopes looking more August-like than November I am starting to get a bit nervous! Thankfully there are hints that the limpet euro-high is starting to decay and things 'may' turn a little more seasonable next week. At least with a more atlantic based flow there is a better chance of fronts/troughs getting across to the mountains. In terms of normal weather over there, what is the most productive (in terms of snow) weather type/direction? A LP moving up from the south introducing easterly winds, or Atlantic-influenced? SS Obviously this question isn't just for Nick S - anyone else please jump in :-)
  22. SuttonStorm
    Hi - the link you posted for the 1st forecast doesn't seem to be working? Am getting a bit anxious (stupidly I know!) about the lack of snow in the Alps. Off to Courchevel on 18th December so masses of time, but the Euro high seems really stubborn. Thankfully there are a few hints that it will get a little more unsettled next week so fingers crossed. BTW I know people who are out skiing on the Kaprun (Austria) glacier right now and the conditions are wonderful! 8=) SS
  23. SuttonStorm
    Morning all Much more organised band of snow approaching from the ENE - see the attached: http://www.meteox.nl/h.aspx?r=&jaar=-3&soort=satradar Should gie some interest to Suffolk, Essex, Kent and poss East Sussex as it goes through. SS LOL Paul - you type faster than me!
  24. SuttonStorm
    Quite a chunky shower heading into W/NW London atm.....seems to be gaining intensity as it progresses eastwards SS
  25. SuttonStorm
    hour and a half????????? eeeewwwwww.....really wrinkly now I bet!
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