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Everything posted by samadamsuk
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What Did You Think of Summer 2022?
samadamsuk replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Spring Weather Discussion
For me, foreign! It felt like we were just too far south for even moisture and decent thunderstorms. A lot of us expected the 40c imminently - we've had a few years where upper thirties seems to be easily achievable, it was just a matter of time until a pattern set up that kept the heat building. We had a few weeks in 2018 I think it was thatveach time I stepped outside it felt like a dry furnace - this summer was just on steroids. I cant remember any nights that I couldn't sit outside with more than a t shirt on. Spent the days swimming in theblocal lake as I took a work break post divorce. Just a matter of time IMO until we have low to mid forties. Amazing summer, we do need more storms though! -
Storms and Convective discussion - 1st August 2022 onwards
samadamsuk replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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Storms and Convective discussion - 1st August 2022 onwards
samadamsuk replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Hey all:) Sat by a lake near Cirencester - lightning to the west and rumbling away - I can also see the blighting strobing from the Portsmouth cell and further west from that. Beutiful here - high clouds and bolts jumping from bases to base, getting more frequent. Could well be an mcs forming it looks like. -
Storms and Convective discussion - 1st May 2022 onwards
samadamsuk replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
High based CB going up NW of Cirencester here - its moving SE - looks like its hit the tropopause - didn't expect this! -
Storms and Convective discussion - 1st May 2022 onwards
samadamsuk replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
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Storms and Convective discussion - 1st May 2022 onwards
samadamsuk replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
I believe its the increased landmass temps over the continent causing the jet stream to but up against the coast of Europe frequently - its mostly elevated stuff in the south and the odd surface storm in the SE as these plumes destabilise but we do not pull in the cape at the surface due to trough position etc - just my thoughts but it does look like that to me. -
Yep agreed - I remember even in the 1990's it would take a Good few days for things to dry out and the heat to build then we would hit or exceed 30c as an exception. These days we can switch to a continental.source and get mid 30's in 24 hours. 40c here is just a matter of time I suspect - God help us when we get a prolonged heatwave!
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Intense thunderstorms 5 / 6 July 1991
samadamsuk replied to Portland Paul's topic in Historic Weather
Simar to the main CB in this but perfectly solid - not whispy in any way. About 3 or 4 isolated cells like this in different directions. cumulonimbus+wedge+anvil - Google Search WWW.GOOGLE.COM -
Intense thunderstorms 5 / 6 July 1991
samadamsuk replied to Portland Paul's topic in Historic Weather
Hi Mate. Pretty well like a door wedge yeah - the anvils were sort of 45 degrees from base to top, and not a canopy in front of them (from memory) - just a solid wall - must have been some uniform directional sheer maybe. I didn't see if there was a meso on the back of them - I didn't k ow about storms at that point - the barrage of cats was intense though! -
Intense thunderstorms 5 / 6 July 1991
samadamsuk replied to Portland Paul's topic in Historic Weather
I'm wondering if this is the evening/night I remember here near Cirencester. I'll always remember these storms as they were wedge shaped - very well defined and solid, with (as you say) the leading edge not your typical anvil.shape but literally wedge looking and straight at the back. We had 3 or 4 - one of them looked right over swindon and had an amazing amount of CG's. I would love to get hold of a picture, or satellite, or anything. Not sure if they were supercells, but definitely single cell storms each one isolated. -
Storms and Convective discussion - 1st May 2022 onwards
samadamsuk replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Evening all Wow the latest GFS doesn't eject that cut off low - it travels back down towards Iberia and pulls a plume over us Thursday next week! As ever models struggling to model cut off lows. I'd bank that! Nothing surface based it looks like this weekend, except possibly in the extreme South but I'm.rubish with UK models. -
Storms and Convective discussion - 1st May 2022 onwards
samadamsuk replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Looking potentialy good fors aturday eve/night. The ECM seems to give much more chance of surface based storms with a low deepening in to the SW and pulling winds southerly/se. A cut off low ejects to become this feature before it rejoins the jet stream, and we look to have a right entrance/left exit scenario. The GFS shows what looks (to me) like an elevated show only, but does show 2000+ Cape butting up to the French coast, and this model keeps us in cooler N/NE winds at the surface - I have no Cape charts for the ECM but would imagine we have a chance of this juice being advected across the SE/South if the ECM is anyway near. There is a jet streak originating from the cut off low that looks like it'll be nosing into the SW Saturday night - this looks to be the culprit that deepens the incoming low on the ECM. If it is in the right place then wind profiles will have atleast south, or even backed SE, with S perhaps SW jet stream support of perhaps 90kt winds. Thats my take anyway - chances are it'll be elevated and not particularly electrical, but a chance of something much more interesting maybe! -
Storms and Convective discussion - 1st May 2022 onwards
samadamsuk replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Bada bada bee bop da bop da bop! -
Storms and Convective discussion - 1st May 2022 onwards
samadamsuk replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Hey All, This is from Selsea beach - a 180 degrees of storm cells at one point. Met some great fellow chasers on the beach - two from Somerset, one from across the road! - I wish I'd got FB details (come say hello guys!). The line split so we didn't get a direct hit but some amazing skies. Sam 20220518_213641.mp4 -
Storms and Convective discussion - 1st May 2022 onwards
samadamsuk replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
180 degrees of storms on the beach here and in a clear spot - epic! -
Storms and Convective discussion - 1st May 2022 onwards
samadamsuk replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Flashing away South of me here at Selsea - beutiful -
Storms and Convective discussion - 1st May 2022 onwards
samadamsuk replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
If anyone wants to join me on Selsey beach, feel free - perfect view across the IOW -
Storms and Convective discussion - 1st May 2022 onwards
samadamsuk replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Still sat on Selsea beach here - location looks good atm looking at the radar. Good luck all -
Storms and Convective discussion - 1st May 2022 onwards
samadamsuk replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Hey all I've just arrived at Southsea beach from Cirencester. Options to go east or west if needs be but not a bad starting position. All.welcome to join me here! I haven't had a swim yet! Samos -
Storms and Convective discussion - 1st May 2022 onwards
samadamsuk replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Yeah makes sense. Its pretty active - can hear thunder now. -
Storms and Convective discussion - 1st May 2022 onwards
samadamsuk replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
First flash to the SW here -
Storms and Convective discussion - 1st May 2022 onwards
samadamsuk replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Hail? Awesome. I'm watching that cell west of Salisbury here in Cirencester hoping it holds together. No lightning but mannnnn .. I should of worn more than a t-shirt out here! -
Storms and Convective discussion - 1st May 2022 onwards
samadamsuk replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Hey All I'm by my daytime swimming lake near Cirencester sat under a marquee. No lightning yet here - quite cool se cool so just hoping there's enough mid level juice and this trough does it's thing over me. -
Storms and Convective discussion - 16th June 2021 onwards
samadamsuk replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Hey All, I can see the line of storms from Cirencester! -
Storms and Convective discussion - 16th June 2021 onwards
samadamsuk replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Cell over London popping up!?