latitude

Looks like a dry cold first half the week for the Bristol area, with milder air coming in thurs - friday.

Like that...ha. We are still waiting for the cold......No cold in the whole winter.....only for something potentially cold to turn up in March. Coldest night IMBY back in December -2.2.

A few nice frosts on the way to end this poor winter (in terms of cold). NW LRF regarding HLB and below average temperatures was way off the mark. I am hoping for a mild LRF this November so the oppostie happens!

Looks like a downgrade with regard to the western movement of the cold air. On this run it dosent get passed Cornwall.

Amazing to hear the GFS being rubbished on here again for a cool/wet theme or cool/dry theme (no cold). Even the proffesionals on here and other sites are dismissing the cold easterly from the Euros. Will be interesting to see if the euros come in line with GFS...

I can assure you there is no sleet in that PPN in mild wet weston!

Not sure why anybody was looking forward to this event in the first place. If this event was favorable for snow in the SW (which now it isnt it seems) it would start as rain. So the ground would of been soaked, the temperatures nowhere near freezing and the whole pattern massively boarderline. Any snow wet and slushy over high ground and not much settling at lower levels. Not sure the ages of members here, but it seems some of you havent ever seen snow falling on dry ground, frozen from previous days of hard frosts and easterly winds and snow that actually blows around the streets as it begins to fall. That is proper snow. Not this fronal rubbish we have had in Januray and maybe next week. Maybe I have spoiled by previous events in years past.

Thank you for your replys. Seems I am confused by anomoly and heights. Anyway, there hasent been any High Pressure across Greenland producing a blocked Atlantic scenario. This was touted all winter....still we are waiting for it.

Very true. Those anomloy charts have been showing hight pressure over or towards Greenland all winter. They are not worth the paper they are written on until it starts showing in the models (which it never has all winter).

Yes that was on the TV forecast before you posted.

Im hoping upper temps, 2m temps will be better. There was a lot of PPN wasted in both january events due to this.

Lets be honest AWD, its poor outlook for sustained cold. No GH blocking, just a mid atlantic high that topples. Not one of those charts posted show any decent height annomolies, just low pressure continually over Greenland. The best we can hope for is something like Jan with a weak HP around Iceland maybe towards Scandi. It is isnt a forecast, its just what the charts show at that time.

Welsh Hills, nothing at low levels.

The charts are showing nothing but a NW influence and thats about it. The chances of the Azores high making it to Greenland are quite remote right now. The NAO wont even go negative just neutral, that has been the same all winter and that is a crutial aspect for me. Until something starts to show in the charts, the deep cold that everyone wants (including me) is just nowhere to be seen right now. People are talking about the 10th of Feb onwards before things start to happen, there is definately only one more chance to get a proper cold spell. Coldest temp so far this year IMBY is -2.2 that was back in December, the recent coldish spell produced a very cold -0.3!!! I am really hoping to see something colder than yet before March! Convective snow please!!! Not the wet slushy frontal stuff we had recently!

Funny how the tip of Cornwall has more snow lying days than most of Somerset!!!