Formula_1_Fan

The best way of finding the old threads that I've found is using the Internet archive. Annoying it took a grab of the forum on 3rd Nov 2010 and then not again until Jan 2011 so its a bit tricky. However from Jan 2011 you can go back and find the model discussion, it looks like it was broken down into a new thread pretty much every day once the fun started but this might be some help for you or anyone else wanting to see how it evolved from the forums perspective. You might have to go through a few pages before finding what you want though! Forecasting Model Discussion - Netweather Community Forums WEB.ARCHIVE.ORG Forecasting Model Discussion: Discuss all aspects of forecasting model output here.

It looks like the Nacreous clouds are back tonight and under the light of the moon they look spectacular. Sorry the photos don't do it justice but its well worth popping outside and having a look if you get chance.

Like others have mentioned I can't believe there wasn't a warning for fog anywhere. We drove from Manchester late last night and from Leeds to just before Northallerton it was ridiculous. It wasn't great on the way down either during rush hour. It took us nearly 4 hours because people don't drive to the conditions. I'll shut up now before this turns into a proper middle aged grumpy man rant!

I've seen a few posts about the effect of the Canadian wildfires on the strat but I was wondering if anyone had anymore info on the effect of the Tonga eruption from Jan 2022. Now i know thats a long time ago now but a few articles have been cropping up recently about how it seems to have changed things a fair bit up in the stratosphere. I've linked an article below, it focuses a lot on the southern hemisphere but it does mention "Previous studies found that the eruption increased water vapor in the stratosphere by 10% worldwide", along with a whole load of other changes with things like ozone being effected. From what I've read it could take a number of years to return to normal, it would be great to find a study on the impact its had in the northern hemisphere if anyone has a link. Anyway here is the link I mentioned earlier: Study examines how massive 2022 eruption changed stratosphere chemistry and dynamics PHYS-ORG.CDN.AMPPROJECT.ORG When the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai volcano erupted on January 15, 2022 in the South Pacific, it produced a shock wave felt around the world...

I very rarely post because usually any questions I have are answered somewhere in the thread but whilst it's quiet.... Every Christmas we see someone mention the lack of data from fewer flights etc. Well I was wondering if this would apply with the current grounding of most flights from the weather in the states? I'm a little sceptical as to whether it makes a difference anyway but I thought I'd ask. Have a great Christmas and new year everybody, as ever its been great following the forum this year.

Thank you Michael Fish, growing up watching you is one of the reasons for my continuing weather obsession. You will be be missed in our household but thank you for all the years of dedication, and all the best for the future.

As an observer I alway thought you were on the moors but I could be getting confused. Sutton bank looks interesting on the webcams. Its weird how it seems to howl for about ten minutes with rain pounding the windows and the suddenly stops for a minute or so before going back at it.

I tried posting this in the storm thread but it wouldn't post the video so I've gone to the effort of uploading on youtube. The shower was from this line of showers, although it's still going on so I don't know if its a shower as such. The puppy went out to see what was going on but our older dog knows better.

I don't post here often but that was a really intense line and felt worthy of a video. The puppy didn't know what was going on and had to take a look for herself, but our older dog knows not to go out when I'm having a look at the weather. We are Northallerton by the way! Edit: it's only posted the sound and not the video! PXL_20211127_003119498_TS.mp4

I'm sure a few days ago corinthian or whatever he is called (the bloke in Austria), posted in the MOD thread about how the team that does his forecast see something more organised in the flow on Tuesday which would be good for us. It was a few days ago so obviously could have changed but his input is usually worth paying attention too. Also I'd like to say I've always loved Steve Murrs posts but he has never seemed to like people who reasonably argue against what he says. I feel like Tamara who's posts are amazing and always fully reasoned doesn't post so much in winter anymore because of Murr and his band of followers which is a shame. I know it's the Internet and you can be Jimmy Big Balls, but it's a decent forum and I'd expect better from a respected poster on here than to threaten to go to someone's house and not buy them a pint just because they disagree with his views.

It looks like day 10 here in Northallerton, didn't expect much from today but I was very wrong

I have to commute from Northallerton to Malton so everyday I have the joy of crossing the moors which has been good over the past few years to give me my snow fix. A few times this winter Sutton bank has been awful but next week looks like it might be worth working from home. I'm usually quite on it thanks to silently following you guys in here and the madness of the model thread but I got caught out in the early December snow. Must have only been a couple of cms on the road but going down sutton bank that night was probably the most terrified I've been as a driver as I was pretty much just a passenger! Sheer luck that I didn't crash, I was crawling down it but it just got to the point where the weight of the car wanted me to speed up and because of the snow I had to go with it. Definitely not liking the look of next week from a commuting point of view but from a building snowmen with the kids and seeing how this all pans out - I couldn't be looking forward to it more.

I'm pretty sure the sky turning yellow is the met office trying out a new warning system after some backlash.

I visited Barcelona with my partner towards the end of last year for a nice romantic get away before our third child came along. Much to her dismay I seemed to keep finding pictures dotted about in various restaurants of the snow they had during the Christmas period in 62. I think I had only ever thought of the impact of that winter on the UK without looking at the rest of Europe. If anyone is interested there are some great videos on this link: http://www.homagetobcn.com/snow-in-barcelona-1962/

I don't post so much on here and I'm certainly by no means a weather expert, but I do have a quick question that I hope isn't taken as me trying to be a wind up merchant. I seem to remember that the past few October's have had a fair amount of blocking in the Arctic only for November to come along and the PV to suddenly wake up angry and then proceed to frustrate many of us until about March. I'm sure we have had a PV that's been slow to develop with the models throwing up promising charts showing a continuation of early promising October weather patterns only to be let down. I don't have time to go through all of the archived model threads right now but glancing through the thread from this time last year I came across this post (sorry if I haven't quoted correctly) So my question is what makes this October and the current output more promising? I understand we have more going for us this year and I can't argue with some of the statistics from some of the excellent members of this forum, so once again please don't take this as me trying to annoy people! It just feels that the forum often starts with the same hopes and optimisation each year. Correlations are found such as the OPI a couple of years ago only for it to prove a dissapointment for many. I do feel the guys behind that should have kept it going for a couple more years though as I found that fascinating. One final question when will there be a new strat thread for this year as some of the posts in there are absolutely fantastic.

I live just up the road from Northallerton in Osmotherley and that January gave some of the most impressive drifts I've seen up on the moors. I'd be more than happy with a repeat of that! The attached pic was a few days before the final dump we got, I'd have loved to have had the time to go up to the tops and see how bad it got up there.

I'm surprised it's taken them so long to get onto this one. Isn't it due the day after boxing day though? http://www.express.co.uk/news/nature/548329/Boxing-Day-weather-Weather-bomb-threatens-blizzard-floods

I've been following this thread for a number of years and at the moment I'm getting a sense of deja vu. To me everything has a feel of 2012/13, I'm not trying to pattern match or make predictions with this post (there are many more experienced and knoweledable people to do that), I'm just trying to highlight how the models seem to behave in my eyes when there is a sniff of cold spell. So using 2012/13 as an example we started getting charts like this in deep fi Indeed by the 20th Dec pressure looked like it would rise towards Greenland, even had a low pressure in that North Sea, going off the achieve threads none of this actually happened when the day came. Moving into Jan 2013 and we still got hints at pressure rises towards Greenland but when the cold did eventually make it into the reliable it came more from the east rather than the North. Now just again push the point that I don't really know what I'm talking about here so I'm not trying to pattern match or make predictions. I'm just saying people shouldn't go crazy if this all goes wrong for a cold push over the Christmas period. It seems to me sometimes the models sniff something and then can take a painful couple of weeks of teasing us and dissapointing us before the actual weather we want comes to fruition. Here is a link to the archive threads from back then should anyone be interested https://forum.netweather.tv/topic/75363-winter-model-discussion-cold-hunting-231212/

I don't usually post in here but the storm last year was quite extreme and caused a fair bit of trouble, also the wind speed was pretty high as well for some areas. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-25220224

I'm probably about a 9. Winter 09/10 was my first full winter away from Manchester living on the edge of the moors with Mrs formula one fan. I was really excited about the amount of snow we got that winter, her not so much. By December 2010 it became clear she didn't like snow as much as me so I decided to give her 1. Now we have a lovely 3 year old daughter who gets excited even if snow is just on the TV.

I genuinely thought that was a joke until I clicked the link!

I'm on the edge of the moors and I'm a little sceptical for my locstion. We had a bit of sleet over the weekend and some more this morning but going off the met office app it's changed from heavy snow later to rain followed by sleet. That's for the youth hostel up the road which is slightly more elevated as well. Fingers crossed for a light covering though. For a January to December this year has been pretty remarkable for no snow here. I think we got a very thin covering that quickly melted in Jan or Feb but apart from that nothing. Going from memory alone I think 2011 was worse with no lying snow from Jan to Dec if you discount leftovers from December 2010!

We managed a light sleet shower earlier which was enough to get my little girl very excited.

Express at it again http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/blogs-the-papers-30356337. Of course some snow in North West Scotland over the next few days definitely means a white christmas is on the way.

I can't think of any other way of doing something very small that would go some way to help highlight what he does and create a bit of mischief at the same time. It's just got my back up a little the other day when once again my grandparents who are in the 80s take what is written as the absolute truth (again).