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goosey007

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  • Gender
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  • Location
    Rogerstone/Risca South Wales
  • Interests
    weather & sport
  • Weather Preferences
    Blizzards in winter Hot and sunny in summer...other is simply boring!!

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  1. So in summary transient snow Birmingham northward….all rain or sleet south of that and no extensive northern blocking and finally ukmo model is now cannon fodder
  2. Ali1977 are we ignoring the ukmo and icon output then ? Not being funny just interested to know why gfs is trusted so much at 7 days. ….also feels like the snow line needs to be in northern Spain for it to verify at t0 for the south of the uk !!
  3. Think this is it … if this misses recent history says that COULD be that for this winter for majority in terms of significant snow …been 2 or 3 really cold weeks over last few years and yielded zero snow in this neck of the woods ….. good luck and congrats to those who get it … Im not bitter honestly
  4. Extremely confusing on here at the moment …. Talk of a breakdown 7/8 days away is nuts the cold not even got here yet
  5. I don’t think there were adamant …. I believe they were just warning us that if it did it would cause big disruption which i think is prudent…. The models were showing at the time … but hey Ho it’s the weather rather deflating it’s gone south but it is what it is …. We keep on the lookout for the next feature ….LP / Thames streamer … Pembroke dangler where ever you are really
  6. Hope your right jay ….. the trend hasn’t been our friend today with it tracking further south than modelled yesterday we need to start to see that move back north a bit of the comming runs ….. think brum north can now be ruled out for this LP ….but SW still has a chance of course looks as though secondary Low may give us what we want just less perhaps ….. keep watching
  7. I must have model paranoia…as on the cusp of a uk cold spell the trend for 5-7 day period seems to be for gfs to Come on board with it and then ecm back away then ecm to back it then gfs to back away then gfs to cone back on Board ….it’s like an episode of the chuckle brothers ….. I fully expect a full guns blazing narnia pub run tonight !!!
  8. Please tell me you’re not on Cyprus Nick ! Right I am due to Book Tenerife today /tomorrow to go Saturday but don’t want to miss the snow I have a terrible dilemma only a coldy would understand …was hoping this was going to water down as usual but it’s ramping up ……help where I am it could still just be cold rain with snow m4 north….
  9. comming down now just sticking to roads just her garden looks more impressive at this stage but says heavy snow all day until 6 or 7pm on met app so should have a good few cms by then ! Need it to cover now though whilst it at its coldest ….
  10. make of that what you will …..I’d say it’s well wrong but there it is all the same as not the only hres model showing it
  11. So that says 40cm for my location cannot be correct there would Amber warning out by now surely ……odd
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