Some people will never admit it, but most long range forecasts / background signals / teleconnections are little more than guesswork. I understand that there is a science behind it., but clearly they are next to useless.
And next winter, these people will have learnt nothing from this winter and still telling us that we are going to get some cold.
At the start of this winter, I said that any cold we get down south will be a bonus. That should be the mantra of all winters, regardless of what the models etc predict.
I do not want cold in March. It's a spring month, so I'm now looking for the first 21C of the year.