garylaverick

Yeah 6/10 sounds about right to me. I think what I was really longing for was some sustained heavy snowfall, instead we only really got light with bursts of moderate. Accumulations ended up ok but only because of the length of the spell, rather than the intensity.

Well a fitting end to a disappointing spell for the region I guess, one final tease before cruelly being snatched away at the last moment. Something that has seemed very consistent over the past week has been the real difficulty in developing or sustaining convection in the circled area. I'd love to know what the exact cause has been, could we have just been extremely unlucky with the wind direction (despite seemingly trying all of them at one point or another), has this area consistently been an area of divergence, or perhaps the sea temperature has played a part? I don't remember this being a particular problem in other cold spells and hopefully it won't be in the future!

This feels like Bond on the laser table, seemingly impossible to escape, yet he manages it. If we don't catch any of this there needs to be an inquiry!

Little tiny flakes in Washington too, most of them are going upwards!

Welcome! I think you're well placed today.

One last hurrah...or the final kick in the teeth...tune in later to find out!

I think we should ask for our radar to be inspected, that section of the North Sea is like the ruddy bermuda triangle. Keep in mind that this is all linked to a trough that is on an elliptical arc (moving east to west whilst also going north) so it's not quite the same as the usual of looking at the wind direction/track of showers to be able to predict where they will land.

There's a big chunk of the system not even on radar so I'd say yes but we're in a nowcasting situation really.

The development on the back edge of the band is impressive, nice slow movement too. Agree about a MetO warning being imminent.

Places like Blyth could be knee deep by the end of today.

I'm about to set off for work in Washington, think I'll take the 4x4 today.

Last night forecasts were showing it just glancing Aberdeen, now it must be 100 miles further west.

Latest FAX.

It looks like we've got the front coming East bumping up against our low travelling west and causing an explosion of convection. Radar looks much better than any models showed for this time frame.

Screen_Recording_20210212-071827_Chrome.mp4

Best activity looks like late afternoon, it's going to be an incredibly close call though, potentially very frustrating for some and amazing for others just up the road.

Just woke up randomly and must have caught the line as there's a fresh covering down. I think that's just the starter, more activity should develop through the day.

18z Euro 4 snow accumulation by 4pm tomorrow

Don't think there'll be any sleet in it!

I belive as the centre of the feature starts to move north again the trough will become more perpendicular to the coast, so as long as it comes far enough west it should be a more even spread. I think a prayer before bed is in order tonight!

1pm tomorrow on the GEM 12z, my new favourite model if this comes off. The problem is its either going to deliver the goods, or be an extremely frustrating near miss.

The fax chart is just a snap shot in time so it will have had to come right up the east coast to get there by 12. The big question is how far up the coast will it be when (or if) it hits land. I can't ever recall seeing this scenario so no idea how it will play out.

A trough located right across our region lunchtime tomorrow.

Very interesting