BarometerCat
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Everything posted by BarometerCat
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And…..it’s rain
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Met office app gives me this for tomorrrow. but not according to GFS 0z which looks just meh….
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no working thermometer but clear sky and very very cold out. Looks like will be cold right into later morning tomorrow too.
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Arpege Friday 0z - last chance for this cold run??
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Arpege takes the lead…
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Ah completely missed us down here (so far..)
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Are those showers around Irish Sea and Cheshire gap intensifying and heading further inland? Hope so.
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It’s the gfs though, pitching it against Arpege, see which verifies closest (if at all)
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What exactly is this? Why such a specific small area?
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GFS 12zsnow chart for Weds Outside chance then for East Mids. And Aperge for West Mids tomorrow (and maybe East mids) Aperge vs GFS then - it's on!
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-2 start. Bright sun though with lots of frost. No snow or any sign of so expecting a dry but cold week.
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GFS 0z and 6z comparison at t156 ECM 0z That low pressure right over the UK appearing on the 6z GFS. Followed by another low to the north a couple of days later. ECM for roughly same period does not feature the same (to my untrained eye!), Yet UKMO has low pressure but later time wise. Seems after end of this week still some detail to be resolved.
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Click bait - over the summer it was EXACT location of heat waves or EXACT location of heavy rain. What even is a snow bomb?
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Friday 19th from GFS 6z, ECM, UKM) After a week of much colder temps, worth following this evolution for newbs like me. Surely cannot be a straight flip to milder surface conditions, no? Oh, and maybe we should allow people to post and have a view of model output no matter how experienced without fear of 'told you so' posts a few days later.
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Heads into Mod thread, read the first few recent posts ‘oh what now’?? ‘ Not going to read the rest, what am I missing? Downgrade? 8c all next week? Rain? seriously.
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For all the doom and gloom, it’s only one run. The overall theme remains if considering Monday thru to Friday…gets colder. 0z UKMO for Thursday looks quite a set up! but it’s still just one run… GFS - no comment, leave that one to more learned posters
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Sunday gfs 18z. Cheshire gap streamer Again pinch of salt.
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And same time frame this morning - gone from GFS (as it would!). Still a long way out but a cold trend remains. Cold one ahead!
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Just for a laugh, but if this came off.. courtesy of the 18z GFS pub run special
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Wow, overall trend is good for cold after 14th, some outputs keeping it that way for over a week. Mod thread getting a bit hectic now
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yay snizzle here! finally. huzzah etc...
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more activity coming in from the wash (according to radar) , maybe make it inland! Not seen a thing here so far...
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Met office app has spoken... seriously though, some could some snow later!
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Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
BarometerCat replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Wowsers ,epic cold if we get anything like this! Main thing for me is the general trend emerging from 14/15th. great charts!
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Arprege for about now and later.. Swiss HD 4x4 recommended yesterday also shows light snow but as always lots of other factors and most will expect nothing at all
