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Andy92

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  1. Snows back in East Kilbride since a lull from about 5pm ??
  2. Here comes the watered down cold spell. Blink and you'll miss it ????
  3. Just a little bit of the snow due for Scotland..
  4. Plenty of snow to come this week. Not sure what all the fuss is about.
  5. : Gale-force winds are expected to begin across southern Ireland by early Monday morning and gradually spread northward across the country during the day. Hurricane-force winds are expected to reach the southern portions of Ireland by Monday afternoon and spread inland across the country into Monday night. Preparations to protect lives and property should be rushed to completion by this afternoon. Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than the near-surface winds indicated in this advisory, and in some elevated locations could be even greater. RAINFALL: Ophelia is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 2 to 3 inches (50 mm to 75 mm) with isolated totals near 4 inches (100 mm) through Tuesday across western Ireland and Scotland. Across eastern Ireland, rainfall amounts will average around 1 inch (25 mm) or less. STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce significant coastal flooding near and to the east of where the center makes landfall. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.
  6. Ophelia is expected to transition to a hurricane-force post- tropical cyclone by Monday when it moves near Ireland and the United Kingdom. While post-tropical Ophelia will likely bring some direct impacts from wind and heavy rain to portions of these areas, as well as dangerous marine conditions, given the forecast uncertainty at these time ranges it is too soon to determine the exact magnitude, timing and location of the impacts. Residents in Ireland and the United Kingdom should monitor the progress of Ophelia for the next several days. For more information on local impacts, residents of Ireland should refer to products issued by Met Eireann and residents in the United Kingdom should refer to products issued by the Met Office.
  7. Ophelia is forecast to remain in a light to moderate shear environment and over marginal sea surface temperatures for the next 24-36 h, and the intensity forecast shows some strengthening during this time in agreement with the guidance. After that, the hurricane is expected to move over cooler water. As that happens, though, interaction with the above-mentioned westerly trough should help Ophelia keep its intensity. Extratropical transition should begin by 72 h, with Ophelia likely to become a hurricane-force baroclinic low by 96 h. The guidance is in good agreement that Ophelia should affect Ireland, northern Ireland and Great Britain between 96-120 h as a powerful extratropical low. Although the track guidance keeps the center offshore of the Azores, a tropical storm watch or warning could be needed for the eastern Azores on Thursday because of the forecasted increase in wind radii in the northwestern quadrant of the cyclone. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 12/0900Z 30.3N 35.6W 75 KT 85 MPH 12H 12/1800Z 30.7N 35.2W 80 KT 90 MPH 24H 13/0600Z 31.3N 34.0W 80 KT 90 MPH 36H 13/1800Z 32.2N 32.0W 75 KT 85 MPH 48H 14/0600Z 33.7N 28.6W 75 KT 85 MPH 72H 15/0600Z 38.5N 20.5W 75 KT 85 MPH 96H 16/0600Z 49.0N 13.5W 70 KT 80 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP 120H 17/0600Z 59.0N 7.0W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP $$ Forecaster Beven http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT2+shtml/120840.shtml
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