I rarely ever post on here, been much more of a lurker (for many years) to those wiser and much more knowledgeable than me, but I'm totally confused how the big three models (GFS, ECM & UKMO) can suddenly flip from what was nearly a nailed on cold 'shot' for some 3/4 days away to what appears to now be a mild wet mush-fest for the festive period!?!
I know the weather does what it wants, but surely over time modelling has got better? I mean if super computers can't predict the weather accurately 4 days away why bother having them? Just to wind everyone up, make people depressed / go mad?* Maybe we stick to looking a couple of days ahead just to keep our sanity, or are we all addicted to 'the chase' of what could be? Chin up people, I still have a sneaky feeling in the next two weeks something special is about to happen - just a hunch!
*delete as applicable