Nick2373

hopefully we'll see the ppn spikes drop a dryer warmer spring like conditions showing on the 00z

Weatherman_93 ? 13c max south feeling like 10c in the wind

Anyway onto the 06z the trend still from the 22nd onward to something colder moisture spikes pretty much still around but should imaging we'll see theses drop away next few days to more of a showery regime. With the SSW in play and with the UK already in colder conditions it may work to our favour something to watch.

The trend for something colder still showing on the gefs from the 22nd to 27th five days who knows but at least its still there, i should imaging there will be some towels picked from the floor if this trend continues. What impact the SSW Will have is anyone's guess but interesting to say the least.

Cooler conditions still flirting around the 23rd Feb, there is a trend something to watch there is to much faith put in the long range models most of them have shown their true colours this winter. I'm not ready to chuck anything yet, 10 days is a long time in terms of weather FI To be fair SSW I know doesn't always produce in terms of cold but again given how fickle the UK weather can be nothing is 100% set in stone.

06z shows the road we are taking but there is so much scatter from the 18th i think anything goes, what the long range shows well they haven't been spot on really this winter to be honest. i think we'll see a pattern change soon.

BarnetBlizzard Given the statistics for the UK i know where my money is,

00z well not much to write home about, cooler from the 11th onward to the 13th then hints of a height raise from the 15th Feb cold rain coastal areas South snow the usual higher elevation the further North you go

@TillyS End sequence being the 14th February 16 days out way way out in FI Not really reliable time frame.

Just one run and the bandwagon is full and playing a familiar tune, Anyway 00z shows a steady decline to cooler conditions from the 09th onward there are more perts over the colder side than above the 30year mean. We all know that signals can change at the drop of a hat granted its not looking spectacular at the minute but there are hints of something closer to average around the 10th certainly one to watch.

06z as per post this morning of a pattern change, some sort of change on its way from the 05th onwards. Control goes off on one but what is interesting is some members are toying with going just under the 30 year mean. A Greenland high quite possibly and a big one at that

00z look at the scatter from the 05th from years of studying and learning this model that’s a pattern change coming up which way? Is the question

Nice warming going on up in Canada possilbe punch through the PV

06z shows starting to show a transition a quick one possibly to a scandi high 28-02Feb could it be a quick one? it as happened before you never know.

Spot on was just about to type that thank you.