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SouthLondonCold

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Everything posted by SouthLondonCold

  1. Icon looks better in all regards: less influence from the Pacific high, the risk is with the lingering euro heights and pacific high, our greenland high gets stretched out like a long piece of spaghetti! But greenland high stronger and with better orientation, and euro high less significant, with a better shape to the low in the Atlantic. All eyes on the short-term risk tomorrow, Swiss euro 4 looking particularly exciting and has the best grasp of the current precipitation!
  2. I suspect we may be the starting point in London, looking good for areas North and West of here!
  3. Also looking good for a double whammy for the South East tonight and Wednesday night on the ecm 6z Somewhere like Biggin Hill could be a sweet spot staying in the colder uppers and heavier precipitation, looking good on met office app.
  4. And to think just a few months ago I could hear the sirens of fire engines putting out wildfires in greater London... Now GFS showing nearly a fortnight of ice days Cheers all around guys, these charts really are special and if any year is gonna deliver it's gonna be crazy 2022.
  5. GFS control still with the Svalbard trigger low and stronger Greenland heights, hopefully the ECM will hold firm tonight.
  6. Incredible orange glow after the intense thunderstorms in South London, never expected this from late October!
  7. I had the immunotherapy specifically for grass pollen about 5 years ago, I would definitely recommend it. Even with antihistamines and eyedrops it was torture before, but nowadays an antihistamine is good enough and stops basically all symptoms.
  8. Beautiful sunset here in South East London, hope it bodes well for storm chances later
  9. Yep that's right remember it happening last year, we get stuck under drizzle on the Western flank, killing any storm chances, while all the lightning stays in the channel/over France, hopefully no repeat occurrence!
  10. Just stumbled across this old thread, it's been fascinating to read the accounts and see the photos even though I was too young to properly experience it. Luckily my parents took some photos which show the scenes in the Bromley area pretty well (if they upload here). Looks to me like we had at least 20-30cm on that deck chair. Anyway I hope everyone here is having a good new year, if anyone else discovers this old thread again like me! Cheers to a repeat of this in the near future
  11. Atlantic running out of steam quickly here, look at the PV difference over Greenland, trough digging further into Europe
  12. This should weaken the SPV too I would hope, bringing further benefits down the line...
  13. Rumbles getting louder west of Messina could be a noisy night here! I'm glad we flew in last night, all the flights to Catania were getting cancelled today
  14. Thanks for the heads up! Strong winds and lightning approaching now. 20211024_172355 (1) (1).mp4
  15. I'm in the far North East corner of Sicily and I can see on accuweather an amber and red warning for storms in the region for tomorrow and monday. I'm not sure how bad a red warning is over here but I'm struggling to find much information due to the location! Anyone got any info on this?
  16. I'm already pretty surprised by the strength of the wind and it won't peak until tomorrow morning/lunchtime. Already some branches down and with the recent rainfall and the trees in leaf could be some damage tomorrow?
  17. Hmm hard to tell I think the general consensus is for showers to ease through the night. However, reports from Southend seem great with heavy snow and that's directly upstream from us in Bromley so fingers crossed!
  18. Wind has noticeably shifted further towards the East which hopefully means this train of convection will push further inland. My location in South East London might be a push but never say never! Certainly looking better for Essex and inland Kent
  19. Still looking good the further East you are. Don't worry about the apps or models too much anymore, its a complete radar watch. Just a tiny shift in the low pressure by say 20-30 miles will have a big difference. The low pressure coming up from Spain to the low countries is definitely a rare setup for the models to process. Fingers crossed everyone sees some of the white stuff!
  20. Are we looking at more of an ENE this time round? The 2018 Beast was never too good here in London as the precipitation was too far to the South mainly, so we ended up with 5cm max.
  21. Hopefully by early evening they will have fallen more and we will have a better chance Currently in -4 850s so not too bad. By evening the 850s should be at -6. The real turning point could be Monday evening when we enter into a field of -6/8 850s and lower dew points too.
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