Vikos

@Harsh Climate so my prediction seems to be right then

Or trendsetter for the new chase? This mild interlude isn’t for long…

I think we should pack all teleconnections aside and focus on the main drivers… so strat looks to fall back into more promising patterns (as they where until now) within the next week. Giving some downwelling time, things can drop fast beginning of February… just keep the faith

A lot of moaining going on here. Why? Just because this mild interlude? Some will rub their eyes… no confidence in cold spells but mild is rock solid carved in stone?

My confidence rises that this mild spell isn’t going to be as long as the models predict… next chase starts around 26/27th

Come to Greece currently at my place…

Seems the zonal spell will short-lived and options for ScandiHi are rising start of February…

Confucius says learn from the past to know about the future (or something like that) EC 10 days ago for today today’s 0 chart Same for GFS Today’s chart

1.6 GB data 00/12z to ~120 MB 06/18z

Come on, don’t be childish, I really enjoy your content you post here, so please, don’t let anyone make you go… tell you what, in comparison with the wetterzentrale forum this place is like a ponyfarm, over there we fight till blood, it’s like a battlefield between coldies and warmies right now and still, it’s just weather…

The Spanish Plume Arrives & An Increasing Risk of Thunderstorms WWW.NETWEATHER.TV Hot, humid and increasingly unsable air arrives from the south later on today, aka the 'Spanish Plume', so expect high temperatures and humidity and an increasing risk of... Just kidding, but this plunge of „hot air“ in some runs had a little taste of Spain…

Smells like Spanish Plume

If you look into the stratosphere, around the 15th/16th January, a significant weakening of the zonal winds in 10 hPa at 60 N is ongoing. This can be seen as a clear indicator of an SSW. However, there is no indication of a polar vortex split, just a “displacement”. Nevertheless, this process (“minor warming”) could pave the way for cold phases over Europe because the westerly wind drift (weakening jet stream) is responding Then about 7 to 14 days later often subsides and blocking highs cold Air masses could shovel towards the European continent. Since mid-October due to westerly weather conditions with lots of wind and rain and mostly which was characterized by mild temperatures, has now been completely changed. The main cause is a wedge rising far to the north over the northeast Atlantic, located between 2 powerful long-wave troughs (one over the North American continent, one over Scandinavia) to the south of Greenland and to the Norwegian Sea could. This Omega pattern proves to be very robust into the medium term. Although it gradually shifts somewhat retrogradely, it acts as Blocking into the lower atmosphere and even leaves the Rossby wave number go back from the current 6 to 7 to 4 to 5. So the wave patterns move slower, which could increase the persistence of the block. from German DWD synoptic mid range outlook

Omg snowmargedon for me

I feel a bit 2010‘ish…