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Drifter

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Everything posted by Drifter

  1. Things going from bad to worse on GFS, it’s actually quite incredible. It looks like one of those nightmarish January’s from the early 90’s.
  2. Very interesting short range changes on UKMO. Are there any educated guesses why GFS has really ramped up the PV seemingly against all background signals?
  3. Mike Poole You can see how things could rapidly turn for the better if the cards fall for us.
  4. Could be an incredible day 10 chart. Hopefully things might start accelerating now
  5. So the day 7 ECM chart is very similar indeed to the really odd UKMO run. Interesting because now we get to see where that would’ve gone.
  6. Tonight’s runs so far are a bit although UKMO could prove interesting at day 7.
  7. Kentspur That value around Norway can happen and is due to a Foehn affect. It wouldn’t spread our way as it would disperse once the conditions are no longer favourable (wind moving across mountains).
  8. Penguin16 Admittedly it won’t seem that cold to a penguin… Damn @bluearmy beat me to it.
  9. Uncertainty I wouldn’t say no to a March cold spell, but it’s just not the same as a proper winter cold spell. Something very depressing about a decent snowfall which starts disappearing by lunchtime. These late season SSW’s and associated cold spell are really becoming a thing now aren’t they?!
  10. Horrific charts across the board this morning. Not even any ‘potential’ to grab on to.
  11. Spah1 You’re not going to get an amber warning for a couple of hours of snow that soon turns to rain.
  12. The Alpine Ski destinations will be praying the GFS 12z is wrong with the holidays coming up. GEM is the more plausible route in my opinion.
  13. Lukesluckybunch Exactly. If anything my money would be on an exceptionally mild spell rather than a deep cold spell. Grim.
  14. Well disappointing runs so far tonight, especially for the longer term. Hopefully ECM can pull out one from the top shelf.
  15. I’m really not understanding the excitement over this brief spell of wet snow followed by a quick thaw? We just need to hope the low moves away easy quickly and that not too much of the euro cold pool is blown away.
  16. Probable snow in the SE from ECM at, you guessed it - day 10.
  17. MJB Come on - the point is, that cold air is heading northwards away from us!
  18. MJB what on earth? The low is heading north, not south. All the cold air has vanished by day 7. Come on man!
  19. MJB Not really - all the cold air has been sent back to Lapland.
  20. E17boy do you really want transient snow? The interest for me is we need the low to move away east to allow the more interesting blocking to the north and west to happen. The GFS solution is not great for the long term.
  21. CoventryWeather Much better than GFS because it’s taken the low centre to the east of the UK.
  22. Lukesluckybunch Still going to blow up and head north by the looks of it
  23. Daniel* You really are nailing your colours to the mast on this one. I hope you’re right!
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