SqueakheartLW

Best and worst by seasons - Years used 1985 to 2024 Ending in 2 - Years used here are 1992,2002,2012,2022 My "good" 2's year Winter 2012 - Had to use 2012 for the winter option as 2012 was a poor year in general and from April onwards it was wet January 2012 - A non descript month really but did get cold right at the very end February 2012 - Got that 2 week long freeze up in at least along with the couple of snow events December 2012 - Was seasonable at least to begin with before going downhill Spring 2002 - Spring 2002 was probably the "best" season overall in 2002. None of the months were really good but compared with the rest of 2002 they were the "best", April probably the best month Summer 2022 - Could be no other, self explanatory really Autumn 1992 - Leftover pick My "bad" 2's year Winter 2002 - Easy pick here for the bad option. Apart from early cold in Jan the rest of the 2002 winter months were poor apart from a brief cold spell in Dec 2002 Spring 1992 - Leftover pick Summer 2012 - A very poor summer overall, June and July especially Autumn 2022 - Far too mild in Oct and Nov 2022 which justifies the bad option for autumn 2022

Descending Sequence Finally onto my first of my descending sequence years. How will these differ from all of my ascending years I made. Here's the first of my descending years with January ending in 0 Best January 2010 - Could be no other for the cold and snow February 2019 - As I picked 2009 in my ascending version for a good month in my good year I thought I'd just for some variety pick Feb 2019 for this good year for the contrasts and the "heatwave" March 2008 - Got the beast month in last time for a good March so for this descending version I went for 2008 for the white Easter April 2007 - Could be no other May 1996 - Just for some variety I went for May 1996 purely as a chilly May like this would make a change in the warmer era we are in now June 2015 - Was a mostly settled month for the most part July 2014 - Warm and thundery August 2003 - Couldn't miss that epic heatwave from August 2003 September 2022 - A warm settled month and even saw thunder later on October 2011 - Warm and dry November 2020 - Like with the ascending version I was stuck with Nov 2020 as Nov 2000 is no way going in a good year December 2009 - For the cold and snowy 2nd half Worst January 2020 - Mild and unsettled February 1999 - Mild and unsettled but did feature a decent cold spell March 1998 - Unsettled April 2017 - The worst option between 1997, 2007 and 2017 May 2016 - Generally dull June 2005 - The most unsettled option between 1995, 2005 and 2015 July 2024 - An unsettled month, especially early on but did have a late hot spell though August 2023 - Unsettled September 2012 - Unsettled October 2021 - Boring November 2000 - Total Washout December 2019 - Total Washout

Strong early signs suggest a different Polar Vortex will develop for Winter 2025/2026 » Severe Weather Europe WWW.SEVERE-WEATHER.EU Winter 2025/2026 over the Northern Hemisphere could face a weak Polar Vortex, as early signs show, creating a colder and snowier season blizzard81 Don This might give you some hope for the winter to come

Don Winter Spring Summer Autumn ANNUAL Year CET Year CET Year CET Year CET Year CET 1 2016 6.83 2025 10.68 1976 17.72 2006 12.64 2022 11.18 2 1869 6.74 2024 10.66 1826 17.61 2011 12.41 2023 11.13 3 1834 6.55 2017 10.41 2018 17.41 2023 12.19 2014 11.04 4 2007 6.55 2011 10.37 1995 17.33 2022 12.16 2024 10.96 5 2024 6.53 2007 10.23 2006 17.32 2014 12.03 2006 10.95 6 1989 6.50 1893 10.20 2022 17.30 1731 11.81 2020 10.84 7 1975 6.43 2014 10.18 2003 17.28 1730 11.79 2011 10.80 8 1686 6.34 2022 10.13 1846 17.09 2021 11.74 2018 10.77 9 2020 6.27 1945 10.07 1983 17.08 1818 11.60 2017 10.67 10 1796 6.22 2020 10.01 1947 17.05 1729 11.58 1949 10.64 What is notable from the above is how much the top 10 warmest years overall lack appearances within the top 10 by seasons. In fact only 2006 ranks top in a season. What is also notable is how many of the warmest season records still in the top 10 come from pre 1900 as well and there's even one from the 1600s still, on the list It does show that you don't have to set record breaking months and seasons to get the warmest overall. Despite 2022 coming out as warmest year it fails to make the top 10 in the winter and only gets its best ranking of 4th for it's autumn.

Don What might be the theme of this summer is if the NW/SE divide continues and we get hottest CET mean summer on record mostly thanks to areas SE of a line from mid Wales to NE England and Scotland, N Ireland and NW England miss out totally

Metwatch We've had a few chances to beat 1976 but have come up short. These summers were usually undone by something like 1 month that wasn't warm enough or all 3 came up short 1976 16.9 18.6 17.6 17.72 The "Daddy" of summer's to beat Undone by the June - 1983, 1995 and 2022 1983 14.4 19.4 17.4 17.08 1995 14.2 18.5 19.2 17.33 2022 15.0 18.2 18.7 17.30 As you can see with 1983, 1995 and 2022 the July and August figures are all very warm, especially the Julys as well as the Augusts In 1995 and 2022. However the Junes, although very much average or warmer than average are not that notable for their mean CETs and drag these summers down below 1976 Undone by the August - 2006 and 2018 2006 15.9 19.8 16.2 17.32 2018 16.1 19.3 16.8 17.41 You get this feeling of de ja vu with summer 2025 when looking at what happened in both 2006 and 2018. Both had warm to very warm Junes and especially the Julys that both got 19c CET means and it looked like 1976 was a goner but the 16c Augusts simply threw the chance away. Simply warm but not warm enough - 2003 2003 16.0 17.5 18.3 17.28 2003 was by no means a poor summer but all round was less hot than 1976. It was quite close throughout and maybe, if maybe the August 2003 heatwave had lasted a bit longer than it did the summer might have been the one to do it.

What are the prospects that summer 2025 will be the year that beats the record from 1976. It has got off to a good start for these prospects with the very warm CET mean June 2025 Month 1976 2025 June 16.9 17.0 July 18.6 August 17.6 Overall 17.72 Not totally impossible, especially if we get a 19c CET mean July. Lets just say we got an exact 19c July. That wouldn't leave much work for August to do to beat 1976 for the summer. After all we are already 0.1c ahead of 1976 for June 2025 1976 vs 2025 daily averages multiplied by days in month 1976 2025 16.9 x 30 = 507.0 17.0 x 30 = 510.0 18.6 x 31 = 576.6 19.0 x 31 = 589.0 17.6 x 31 = 545.6 17.2 x 31 = 533.2 Total = 1629.2 Total = 1632.2 17.72c CET Mean 17.94c CET Mean Any total higher than 1629.2 for all 91 daily mean CETs added together for summer 2025 and 1976's record has fallen Just wanted to show above how little August would need to do if we get an exact 19c CET mean July I think a 17.2c CET Mean August isn't that hard to achieve if the usual August form of cooler and more unsettled doesn't strike at least

Summer8906 It is December 2001. If I remember rightly the other guesses didn't fit my description. November 2023 was very much mild and dull till the cold at the end (Doesn't fit with the chilly, dry and sunny theme) and January 2019 was mostly mild and dry apart from a chillier spell mid month and at the very end Completed months 2001 - Dec 2024 - Apr

Thundery wintry showers It is. Someone had to at least get this event in so why not do it

Summer8906 I remember Atlantic 252 Not January 2019 or November 2023

Completed dates 1975 - 14 Aug 1978 - 15 Feb 1983 - 31 May-1 Jun 1987 - 21 Aug 1989 - 4 Apr; 13 Dec 1993 - 10-11 Jan 1994 - 6 Jan; 3-4 Aug; 21-24 Dec 1995 - 2 Mar; 2 Sep; 25 Dec 1996 - 26-27 Jan; 6-7 June; 3 Sep 1997 - 1 Jan; 1 Jun 1998 - 20 Jul 1999 - 12 Jan; 1-2 Jun; 2-3 Jul; 14/15 Dec 2000 - 16 Feb; 30 Oct 2001 - 2-3 Mar; 26 Jun, 22 Dec 2002 - 23 Feb; 7 Aug 2003 - 30 Jan; 22 Jun; 22 Oct 2005 - 27 May 2006 - 3 Mar; 9/10 Apr; 22 July 2007 - 13 May; 25 Jun 2008 - 26 May 2009 - 25 Jun 2010 - 5/6 Jun 2012 - 25 Aug 2013 - 18 Jan; 11 Oct 2014 - 25 Jan; 19-20 May; 17-20 Jul; 10-11 Aug 2015 - 3-4 Jul; 24 Jul; 29 Dec 2016 - 23 Jun 2017 - 12-13 Jan; 1-2 Sep 2018 - 17-19 Mar; 21 Apr; 27 Jul 2019 - 27 Jul 2020 - 22 Jan 2021 - 7-12 Feb 2022 - 23 Oct 2023 - 10-12 Jun 2024 - 21-23 Sep Here's a warm season one for you all and it might be quite easy or maybe not, we shall see This particular day dawned clear and sunny, especially further east and it was going to remain clear and sunny in eastern parts for most of the day unlike further west where it was cloudier and less hot with some showery rain not amounting to that much. The main theme of the day though was the plume further east that brought very high temperatures for the time of the year. This less hot air did eventually arrive in the east after dark. The weeks leading up to this event were generally on the dry and sunny side most of the time with generally above average temperatures too and it became notably hot in the days just before the main event. Following on from the main event the dry, warm and sunny theme continued on for several more weeks with another heatwave about 3 weeks after the event before it cooled down somewhat

This month was in the winter half of the year The month opens up on a mild but dry note but it isn't long before it becomes chillier. The first half of the month contains the bulk of what milder days it had whilst the second half was colder overall. Westerlies were more common early in the month whilst northerlies were more common later in the month and some saw snow too. The month ended with some notable frosts too. Overall this month was drier, colder and sunnier than average too.

In terms of Junes so far in the 2020's I'd rate it as the best June so far this decade but it was close with 2023. So far I'd rate them in this order. None of the Junes so far for me were below average as even the cool 2024 was quite dry too. 2025 8 2023 7 2022 7 2020 7 2021 5 2024 5 Talking of rating I'm thinking where 2025 sat at the end of June compared with where we were at the end of June in 2020 to 2024 as well. I'd put them in this order with their scores/10 for each month and score/60 up to June 1 - 2025 = 47/60 Jan 8, Feb 6, Mar 8, Apr 9, May 8, Jun 8 Seems 2025 is maintaining its big lead over the other 2020's years. No surprise since every month so far has been average or above. The dry sunny spring doing a big amount of the good work so far to allow 2025 its early dominance at the top 2 - 2023 = 37/60 Jan 7, Feb 7, Mar 3, Apr 6, May 7, Jun 7 After the decent score by June 2023 this has promoted 2023 to 2nd 3 - 2022 = 36/60 Jan 5, Feb 3, Mar 7, Apr 6, May 8, Jun 7 2022 moves up to 3rd position after June 2022 and as I personally rate 2022 higher than 2021 it takes 3rd above it 4 - 2021 = 36/60 Jan 7, Feb 8, Mar 6, Apr 9, May 1, Jun 5 2021 drops down to 4th after June 2023 beats June 2021 5 - 2020 = 33/60 Jan 1, Feb 0, Mar 6, Apr 9, May 10, Jun 7 2020 stays down in 5th but has closed the gap to 4th slightly 6 - 2024 = 16/60 Jan 6, Feb 0, Mar 1, Apr 0, May 4, Jun 5 2024 continues to drag down in 6th despite one of its higher scoring months in June 2024

Ascending sequence January ends in 9 with the year range 1995 to 2024 Best January 2009 - None of the options between 1999, 2009 and 2019 were very good. 1999 was mild and unsettled for the most part apart from the short cold spell and the frontal snowfall. 2019 was again mostly mild but this time drier but also featured a short colder spell and some snow. It was 2009 that won this one however as to me it seemed the most wintry of all 3 options with some notable frosts February 2000 - 2010 would have been better here but that is needed elsewhere for a good option so it had to be 2000 for this "good" slot. Did feature a fair amount of cold zonality and some of that did have some wintriness within it, especially mid month March 2011 - 2011 is easy pick here for warmth and sunshine. Could have also gone for 2001 here as well for snow interest but that month was quite wet. 2021 wasn't too bad but wasn't as good as 2011 April 2002 - Probably the best month of 2002 to be fair. 2022 was a bit mixed and 2012, say no more May 2023 - A warm, pleasant sunny month overall, much better than 2003 and 2013 to a lesser extent June 2014 - Generally on the warm side with some thunder too. Also thought about putting June 2004 here too but that got cool and unsettled later on July 1995 - Easy pick, no explanation needed August 1996 - Was a changeable month in the right kind of way with hot spells then thunderstorms the main theme with cooler fresher weather in between September 2007 - Cool but dry and settled. Not ridiculously warm but a proper dry autumnal month. 1997 was also a contender here too October 2008 - I liked the early cold snap and snow with this one November 1999 - November 1999 was the "best" option available here and certainly the driest one as both Nov 2009 and 2019 were simply horrid washouts December 2010 - It could be no other. Had to compromise in February to ensure I could get the epic December 2010 into my year. No way was I missing this one off Worst January 1999 - The most unsettled option and the mildest option available despite January 1999 actually having the best snow event between the 3 available months February 2020 - A total washout and the wettest February on record. Has to go in the bad year March 2021 - None of the options between 2001, 2011 and 2021 would I call bad. 2001 had the snow interest, 2011 was warm and sunny and 2021 had some warm and sunny moments too but to me it had less warmth and sunshine than 2011 and had no snow interest either so makes it into the bad year for both of these things April 2012 - Could be no other. April 2012 was the wettest option available and had to be in the bad year May 2013 - Cool and unsettled, easily worse than 2003 was. 2003 only escaped the bad year as it was warmer but also unsettled June 2024 - June 2024 only makes it into my bad year as it was the coolest June between 2004, 2014 and 2024 July 2015 - After the heat spike and the thunderstorms this month soon devolves into a cool unsettled month August 2006 - Easily the worst option between 1996, 2006 and 2016 September 2017 - A nothingness month that doesn't stand out for anything good really October 1998 - Unsettled November 2019 - A total washout December 2000 - Although it does have the White Christmas and the week of cold and snowy weather that follows it the rest of the month was mild, dull and initially unsettled which gives it the worst label

Gets an 8 from me overall but there is variation in what things contributed to this score Daytime Temps - Has to be a 9 / 10 for me on this one. I can stand very warm or hot days as long as the nights aren't too warm and uncomfortable. Even the 32c day we got on the 30th didn't drag this score down Nighttime Temps - This one gets a much lower 5 / 10 for me. The second half of the month had too many 15c + mins and the night between the 30th and the start of July was terrible, 20c nights not my thing. Most of the 5 / 10 rating came from the more comfortable first half of June Rainfall - The drier the month the better but what rain we do get in a summer month should come in thunderstorms. I have rated June 2025 at 9 / 10 overall with the only thing preventing a 10 was getting no thunderstorms all month long Sunshine - This is also a very high 9 / 10 rating too. Nearly every day of the month was dry and sunny with only maybe 2 days seeing any rain and one of those was missing out on the thunderstorms. Overall a total of 9 + 5 + 9 + 9 = 32 / 40 which equates to my 8 / 10 rating when averaged out