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Justin1705

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  1. Jordan S Thanks you for your reply. Yea upon checking other models there is no feature or if there is very light and in the North Sea. I would settle for falling snow at this point I’ll be keeping an eye on the feature moving north tonight in my area as I’m 550ft ASL, so when it’s snowing here its raining down the road thanks for your explanation, I appreciate it. Was some sleet today mixed in with the heavier PPN in luton. But only ice accumulation on my jumper, and obvious ice splats on my lorry windscreen. Good luck to all hoping to see some falling snow ( possibly ) tonight
  2. Gfs interested in some widespread show Sunday ? Has anyone else noticed this. And what’s up with the complete disagreement across models, in the short term? I’m just an occasional model viewer, just about now how to view them. But gfs has been suggesting snow this weekend for a while, then changing run by run. Probably won’t happen. But that’s widespread heavy snow if it does no?
  3. Turn out they did extend the warning eastwards and even added amber. Comical really shouldn’t even bother until it’s solid!!
  4. Who knows, the met seem to forecast the opposite a week out with such confidence why they don’t just wait until 48-72 hours before I don’t know. There were and still are, models showing strong winds across the board into London and S+E It’s like the fella telling everyone last week that it was most likely to see disruptive significant snow in the south, a week later, because our variety in ensembles, it didn’t happen. I can understand the high impact low risk side, but when the models aren’t in agreement why would they even highlight potential events a week before knowing full well it’s most likely subject to change. I can see that warning being extended eastwards, as per there normal adjustments.
  5. It’s NOT going to happen, unless you’re in Brighton then there’s a chance. The only chance for anything further north is from the decaying front sinking south tomorrow morning. Just how much moisture is available from this is unclear, but would only be a dusting if anything. Good luck to all but give up on the front being further north. Just look at the PPN already being shunted eastward, the front will follow suite when it hits the northerly. If by some miracle it does snow tommorow. I’ll take it back, but I think you’re holding on to false hope. Even if it does scrape the southcoast, it will be slush on immediate coasts, and only a few CM’s inland. Most likely to stay in northern France or the channel.
  6. Much further north for the snow in the south! Got to be honest I’d rather this setup than it being marginal AF ! At least this way we know if it does push into south England it will fall as snow. Rather than the low being placed on the south coast giving a slush fest for all! Can someone tell me if the models pushed the low further south due to the potential low on Tuesday in northern areas? So if this low on Tuesday doesn’t push as far south as they predict, would this in turn allow the front to push further north in the south?
  7. I do think the worst or best depending on how you view it is over. However as the coldest air moves west, a few models, including bbc forecast and met office forecasts, hint at a slight uptick in shower activity across C England and N London as it follows the warmer dew points west. As others have pointed out the drier air will inhibit convection, but a little later in the evening, the far east has probably seen there best, but anyone in London, West Sussex, beds bucks and herts, could see some slightly heavier flurries than of earlier! Of course no accumulations but I wouldn’t miss it as it might be all we get it has been snowing all day here since twelve but only the loose dandruff in the air type ! Hopefully a taster of what could come next week…. Some models to make people feel better. Hope hall had a great day! And just remember uk is most likely to see snow between January- march so still very much in the game ! Peace out all ! See you next week?
  8. Flurry in luton. Most models suggested that the streamers would move inland as the cold are moves E-W This afternoon. Hoping for a surprise the evening, especially with there being more precipitation than modeled and met office has me for 3 hours of light snow from 4-7 but not too sure IMG_4123.mov IMG_4124.mov
  9. If they’re on about say/sun they’re in for a collosal let down
  10. Just seen the UKV great for luton. However it’s egged on quite alot this year. Fingers crossed for a nice light show. Night time storms are the best for me. Love the milliseconds of day time light produced from lightning. The last time I remember the best country wide. S to N storms was 2016. If that chart was to come off would be pretty similar.
  11. Thunder in luton, however only 1 or 2 rumbles ! Compared to the radar return you’d think it would be a rather active cell! Maybe it’s just kicked off too quick this morning. However eyes in the channel to see if that will make it here ! Was however loud rumbling shotgun thunder !
  12. Fingers crossed then!! It’s been a really hot humid day, and hopefully as the cold front moves through as it is now, could see some sparks ! Sounds good I’m now awaiting fresher air! Thunder or no thunder 22/23 is fine for me lol Thanks for that
  13. Watch this space. Cloud seems to be forming in day 24 behind cold front from top cell near Leicester to cell near Oxford ?? any experts out there, is the atmosphere stable or is it unstable enough for a suprise
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