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chapmanslade

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Everything posted by chapmanslade

  1. chapmanslade
    Well how about you put these zealots and turd polishers on ignore and then your day will not be interrupted by their posts seeing as how you consider them so worthless. Most of those posting on 'background signals' rarely 'ramp' and just discuss trends and suggestions going forward. Some of those who add 2+2 and make 25 from those discussions are the ones you should be complaining about. The background signals cannot 'fail'. They are what they are (and their predictability is no better than anything else in the models). The only fail comes when folks hang too much on them either through a lack of understanding or a desire for a particular outcome.
  2. chapmanslade
    Plus the large area. Usually when the south gets a storm the north is OK but almost the entire UK got a battering, hence the reasons for some plane diverts to Europe.
  3. chapmanslade
    Not everybody is asleep during the night. Many people work at night and the information gets used by authorities and Governments beyond the information to the general public. A red warning was issued appropriately and will have been acted upon by authorities. Red warnings are only issued when there is certainty of severe impacts. They are rightly issued rarely and for short periods at short notice. As an example Aerodrome Weather Warnings were issued yesterday by the Met Office as part of the warning system, and as we know it was pretty chaotic last night in the aviation world so entirely appropriate.
  4. chapmanslade
    But we do have a warning system in place. If you choose to ignore it then so be it. Common sense doesn't always apply as often it is based on incorrect assumptions.
  5. chapmanslade
    You are just being contrary now. On the basis of what you have said there would never be any warnings, which is a completely different discussion. An amber warning was issued and the post storm evidence for Wiltshire suggests that it was appropriate to warn people about dangers on the road / rail / air etc as there were indeed dangers such as fallen trees. Not sure why you have a problem with that?
  6. chapmanslade
    The amber warning was completely appropriate for Wiltshire. About 90 minutes of severe conditions yesterday evening with power cuts and roads closed because of trees (A303 and A36) That is EXACTLY why an amber warning was issued and was correct. Probably waiting for the line to be confirmed safe before working
  7. chapmanslade
    Ours put themselves out!
  8. chapmanslade
    Was the Met Office yellow warning (including Bristol) not enough for you? Not sure who 'Charlie boy' is but Ian Fergusson @fergieweather on the BBC Points West was clear about the warning and about the uncertainty over how far north the rain would get. Far from a 'fail'
  9. chapmanslade
    Not especially warm either at just 5C now. Very heavy rain for the last 3 hours
  10. chapmanslade
    Radar shadow not drier air
  11. chapmanslade
    You have already answered your own question !
  12. chapmanslade
    Murmurations are created by large groups of Starlings, most of which stay in the UK year around with a top up from Northern Europe - so no!
  13. chapmanslade
    Stupid comment. Many people died in severe weather events that don't now because of warnings. Never mind those injured that didn't die. Your contrary views are tiresome
  14. chapmanslade
    Maybe in Leeds, but 5 or 6 days in a row over 20C is pretty amazing for October in the South of the UK
  15. chapmanslade
    Lightning maps real time didn't keep up with reality.
  16. chapmanslade
    Plus yesterday the low level misty cloud completely hid what was going on above. Had exactly the same a few years ago in October when outdoors in a fairly cool misty quiet day and suddenly a bolt came out of nowhere.
  17. chapmanslade
    Nah, that's not gunshot thunder This is gunshot thunder (excuse my son's language) - make sure you turn the volume right up! VID-20220619-WA0001.mp4
  18. chapmanslade
    There were a lot of 'missed' strikes yesterday. None of the ones we had showed up at all.
  19. chapmanslade
    Completely incorrect. There has been strong cross model support for a significant warm event for the best part of a week now. The only variations are where the boundary of that warm air is (plus or minus a few hundred miles at most on a global model). France remains hot for all of next week now as signalled by the ECM run you said was impossible a while ago. Your contrary approach is most unhelpful.
  20. chapmanslade
    More cells popping up further west now around Crewkerne - all heading NE at quite a lick which is very much at odds with surface conditions where there is virtually no wind at all.
  21. chapmanslade
    Well if you listen to ITV weather what do you expect! Heard a rumble here so must be to the east of you from that new cell that has popped up
  22. chapmanslade
    Was mentioned on BBC forecasts (TV and radio) yesterday and this morning
  23. chapmanslade
    I think it is the trough to the south of the warm front actually that has now moved further north
  24. chapmanslade
    I study my naval from time to time
  25. chapmanslade
    Based on his spelling I would very much doubt his expertise!
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