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sub-polar men

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Everything posted by sub-polar men

  1. David. What do you mean when you say that in the new moon and the full moon intersection cycles and how it warms and cools the earth over 231 year cycle? I’m thinking that if the new moon is 28 degrees north the full moon is 28 degrees south on the other side.
  2. In his e-book it says 2022-2050 for the start of the phase 2.
  3. The met office as forecast the NAO to be little positive this winter. Any thoughts? Link: http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/seaso.../nao/index.html
  4. It has been Observed in the colder part of 20th century that the jet stream was so strong then all of a sudden the jet stream broke up(1) The hypothesis is that the atmospheric heat transport circulation can only take a limited north-south temperature gradient. so if it goes beyond that limit the atmospheric heat transport circulation will fragment(2). Allowing the polar high to dominate the mid-latitudes(3). So this is my understanding. In a warmer world the north-south temperature gradient is less. This means that the atmospheric heat transport circulation is more stable. Also the jet stream is more north and more stable. This will give the UK months of mild winters due to the more stable westerly winds, unlikely to brake up. Summers will be dryer with heat waves. Reverence Book 1. Atmosphere, weather and climate. Roger g. Barry and Richard j. Chorley. Page 146. 2. Atmosphere, weather and climate. Roger g. Barry and Richard j. Chorley. Page 147. 3. Atmosphere, weather and climate. Roger g. Barry and Richard j. Chorley. Page 221,222.
  5. It seems to be that you don’t understand the correlation between solar cycles and global temperature. The correlation shows that an extra 2-years extension on the average solar cycle length would show about 20 years of cooling after the soler minimum.
  6. Most of the melting is likely more to do with the oceans recovering the 20 to 30 years of natural warming. It’s still releasing its heat. There are increasing articles on the web show the opposite evidence about ice caps malting. The mainstream media is only mandated to show one side of the argument. The evidence which they are showing is increasingly becoming more and more selective.
  7. There seems to be a Down trend since 2003. The up trend from 1996 to 2003 may be due to the short length of solar cycle 22 of 9.6 years and the amplitude of solar cycle 23. The down drend after 2003 may be the weakening of solar cycle 23 which still has not ended.
  8. Take a look at this interesting article on the continuing global cooling. http://epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?Fus...c4-c8accd44a47d
  9. yes, in the met centre there are vary good scientist but they are forced to spin.
  10. We do not know exactly know how strong the jet stream was back then. But we do have a good idea from the increase of the baroclinic instability due to the increase north-south temperature gradient that rises from a colder would.
  11. Note This is not my Work. It been paseted During the LIA, there was a high frequency of storms. As the cooler air began to move southward, the polar jet stream strengthened and followed, which directed a higher number of storms into the region. At least four sea floods of the Dutch and German coasts in the thirteenth century were reported to have caused the loss of around 100,000 lives. Sea level was likely increased by the long-term ice melt during the MWP which compounded the flooding. Storms that caused greater than 100,000 deaths were also reported in 1421, 1446, and 1570. Additionally, large hailstorms that wiped out farmland and killed great numbers of livestock occurred over much of Europe due to the very cold air aloft during the warmer months. Due to severe erosion of coastline and high winds, great sand storms developed which destroyed farmlands and reshaped coastal land regions. reference Scott A. Mandia Professor - Physical Sciences T-206 Smithtown Sciences Bldg. S.C.C.C. 533 College Rd. Selden, NY 11784 (631) 451-4104 http://www2.sunysuffolk.edu/mandias/lia/little_ice_age.html
  12. The link for the two books: http://www.amazon.co.uk/Little-Ice-Age-Cli...3341&sr=1-1 http://www.amazon.co.uk/Atmosphere-Weather...3166&sr=8-1 Interesting Link : http://www2.sunysuffolk.edu/mandias/lia/little_ice_age.html About the jet stream in the early little ice age 1400s to 1500s.
  13. You can find information on this from books such as: The Little Ice age by Brian Fagan Atmosphere, weather and climate by Roger G. Barry and Richard J. Chorley To understand the dynamics of the zonal flow.
  14. Yes. In the 1600s the the summer was very windy the jet stream was so strong and unstable it broke up in the autumn. polar continental air flow to the UK for months.
  15. I am talking about the cycle spectrum between the maximum and minimum. On the 400 to 500 year cycle it takes 400 to 500 years to go from minimum to minimum.
  16. The maunder minimum was a 400-to-500 year minimum. Coupled with a 800 to 1000 year minimum. 1930s was the time of the 800 to 1000 year maximum . The dalta Minimum is a 200 year minimum. There was warming and cooling between the dalta and the maunder minimums. You can check this out on a graph from this link: http://www.warwickhughes.com/agri/Solar_Arch_NY_Mar2_08.pdf The next maunder type minimum will be round about the year 2200.
  17. Not for the short term for the UK. A cooling world means increase North-south temperature gradient. This will increase the westerly flow. This will make Decembers in the UK windier, milder and maritime in the short term. But as when North-south temperature gradient increase, the westerly flow will continue to increase. The stronger the westerly flow the more unstable it becomes and likely to suddenly brake up in big anticyclone blocking.
  18. CO2 is to weak of a greenhouse gas to stop natural cooling on the magnitude of what we are looking at.
  19. Solar cycle 23 is going to be about 13 years long. The longest since 1790. it’s been known by solar scientist that the longer the solar cycle the weaker in amplitude of the next 2 solar cycles. Solar cycle 24 is going to be very weak. Solar Cycle 24 and 25 should take us up to 2030. The weak amplitude of solar cycles 24 and 25 will likely cool the globe for 30 years. The earth as already cooled over the past 2 years and is likely to accelerate over the coming years. China as already seen their coldest winter for 100 years. Sydney has seen their first snowfall for decades. As when the earth cools the temperature gradient increases between the poles and the equator. This will make the jet stream increase its speed from west to east. Britain’s autumn and winters will become milder, maritime in the short term. When the temperature gradient continue to increase between the poles and the equator the jet-stream becomes unstable and more likely to break up in to anticyclone blocking and cyclones. The anticyclone blocking will develop from Siberia to Iceland bringing in months of polar continental air to the UK in winter The CO2 is to weak of a greenhouse gas to stop natural cooling. As when the oceans cools it will absorb all of the manmade CO2 and a large amount of natural CO2 Ice cores show temperature go up first then CO2 follows The evidence supporting the manmade global warming hypothesis is getting less and less. There is a large amount of jobs and government tax dependent on the manmade global warming hypothesis so there will be allot of political spin in the data.
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