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sunnijim

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sunnijim last won the day on June 18 2022

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    Saltdean,Nr Brighton,East Sussex,Hither Green,SE London.

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  1. .....A few of still hanging around in the nightclub after last orders hoping that there might just be hope of taking some eye candy home at the 11th hour before the doors close on yet another fruitless chase. # March model discussion #Winter 23/24 #90sSaturday nights.
  2. nick sussex There has been a few notable snow events that have lasted in my lifetime in early to mid March. ( just reached my half century on the planet) Twice around the timeframe on offer ( second week of March) once in the third week ( 2018 mini beast) By lasting, I mean snow sticking on the South Coast and not melting by day. We really are in a last chance saloon, and absolutely everything has to go right in terms of an imported cold pool to avoid the repeats of half baked wintry weather that the Winter will be remembered for,n the South at least. Funny time March, one eye on models looking for the first sniff of warmth and half a foot in the convective discussion!
  3. Big hail producer has caused carnage on my local Motorway. Reports of hail on the ground 2 inches thick. Updates as four people taken to hospital after 15 vehicle crash on M23 WWW.THEARGUS.CO.UK We are bringing you live updates after multiple cars were involved in a crash on the M23
  4. UK weather warnings - Met Office WWW.METOFFICE.GOV.UK Met Office UK weather warnings for rain, wind, snow, ice, fog, thunderstorm, lightning and extreme heat. Somthing of a "Nowcast" warning from Met Office issued at 0229am this morning as 64mph gusts landed on the Isles of Scilly. We have had gusts here in the last hour that compare with any of the named storms this Winter. 55mph, 58mph and 57mph.
  5. A TORRO watch too The Tornado and Storm Research Organisation (TORRO) WWW.TORRO.ORG.UK TORRO is a privately-supported research body specialising in severe convective weather in Britain and Ireland
  6. UK weather warnings - Met Office WWW.METOFFICE.GOV.UK Met Office UK weather warnings for rain, wind, snow, ice, fog, thunderstorm, lightning and extreme heat. Could get lively tomorrow.... Thunder; hail and gusts of 70mph possible.
  7. In a tribute to the late, great Steve Wright and the iconic Mr Angry. What better morning to give a view on this waste of Winter than a walk in the fog and drizzle well in keeping that the dross that has been a staple diet since November. 4/10 That would be my score. I should just say that I am a fan of all things 'interesting' weather wise, not just a snow chase. So named storms, thundery downpours, and of course cold sunny winter days with snow an added bonus. 4/10 with the bar set so low that a few wind gusts of 60mph and some decent frosts and cold sunny days in December and January. Named storms have amounted to diddly squat here and the snow chase has amounted to somthing akin to dandruff on my dressing gown as I stepped outside to inspect it. I'm aware that some parts further North had a decent fall ( peaks in December) and one named storm caused local impacts over Ireland and Scotland. I'm never setting the bar at a 62_63 winter or a great storm of 87 but this year really has seen all potential from models downgraded to cheap sausages instead of steak. A muddy puddle this morning.
  8. TEITS Models starting to sniff out a reaction to the progged SSW on the 19th/20th maybe? Would be a rather quick reaction but not impossible, effects normally take longer to show their hand. Alot would need to fall into place to stop a slushfest at this time of year. 2018 landed on the 22nd Feb, if this scenario has legs then it is my opinion that we will be looking at the weekend of 24th/25th as an arrival time. First time I have felt moved to get a little interested in cold possibilities since the early January farce. Perhaps because date wise, SSW wise, memory's of 2018 come flooding back. One last chase perhaps that could save a winter that promised so much and produced so little ( for most) from being consined to the bin.
  9. All we can go on is the gusts recorded at official stations if we are holding an inquest. 60mph is actually a generous round up of gusts, most didn't get that close. That's not to say that a local gust near you didn't go a touch higher, but surely you can't deny the facts as they are written.?, overall 55mph seemed to be the height of it.
  10. Hi, well aware of how the matrix works being a weather geek and not Joe public... It wasn't intended as a bash, actually on the Isha thread I defended the use of Amber over England,after the event had a lesser impact than expected over England. This was purely the potential for irony if the aforementioned gust(s) do occur tomorrow.
  11. So, Amber achieved 49mph as the highest gust at my local station Shoreham for Isha. Can Joceyln go higher with not even a yellow in place? M.O going for 50mph at Wednesday midnight. GFS say 59mph..
  12. With the benefit of hindsight here is my take on why winds were at the low end of any predictions over England The original position of the Low some 10 days ago was to cross Southern Ireland with the centre over Southern Scotland. Corrections North over the coming days never really altered the progged winds to any great degree over England. As others have said, instead of benefiting from the tight core around the Lows centre to generate high winds we became reliant on squall lines and high pressure playing ball over the continent to squeeze the English isobars. Three things seem to have occurred, the high over Europe a little further South than progged, the Low further North and no squalls. So the extremes moved North into N Ireland and Scotland.
  13. Who said anything about low winds? It was a wild and blustery night. There is nothing wrong with cutting through the hyperbole and stating facts; and they are facts, not just Wishful thinking that continues to try and back a now defunct idea that gusts went higher than 60mph in the SE widely. Models were about 10mph over the top. Even Langdon bay only managed 59mph as its highest gust. If anyone can produce evidence of higher gusts, fine but let's not start shooting people down if they don't have the populer view of it being a remarkable event. There was plenty of that here last night as members dared to say winds speeds were unremarkable etc.
  14. A very unremarkable event in the SE both on coasts and inland. Gusts no higher than 55mph to 60mph. Amber warning unnecessary , but given model projections understandable. Data more widely over Northern Ireland the far North of England and Scitland shows 70mph to 80mph gusts recorded in places . Exposed headlands and mountain tops coming in with a couple of higher gusts.
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