Hi Noggin and John, This year may be the 11th warmest for the world so far, but it certainly hasn't been for europe. Is this just another sign of the weakening NAD? Something that has also my attention are the SSTA's in the NA. On this site, http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sst_anom.gif , you can clearly see that the NA is divided in 2 parts: an eastern side which is a little bit colder then normal and a western side being far hotter then normal. I don't know whether this is different from other years, but if it is, I would link it to the NAD weakening very rapidly. If the water can't sink properly above Siberia the cold backstream of the gulfstream weakens. Could this be the reason of the water being far warmer in the western Atlantic then normal? Here you can see the complex streams in the arctic area: http://www.whoi.edu/institutes/occi/viewIm...=18930&aid=9206