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moses

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Everything posted by moses

  1. moses
    Yep, im from Chesterfield too. 48 cms in Whittington. Truly astounding. I think the 78/9 winter was the last time this happened. Then, everyone got together, shovels etc... and sept all driveways/access roads. Now its every man for himself. I was genuinely shocked at the amount. I do feel the Met O have grossly underestimated this one!!
  2. moses
    Mmmm.......... What I find disconcerting is the models are showing one thing and people like The Met Office/ John Holmes on Net Weather video forecasting rain with a wintry mix. Surely not?
  3. moses
    Re: Control Run Briefly, what is it and how does it differ from the operational.....
  4. moses
    Something out of Dr Who, for sure. However, I can still imagine the Met Office update tomorrow: Cooler everywhere, some wintry showers creeping into the SE later in period.. Again , still FI .I'll believe that when I see it. However, the models are tending to upgrade ............ How then does this compare with 1947(Jan) Jan 63, surely a more severe spell than that??? Question: Has there EVER been a synoptic set up like this, either T+ 0, t+ 2500 or in the last 60 years? If so, when!
  5. moses
    Briefly, I'm following all this synoptically, but what IS a control run , compared to the operational? Why the difference and the importance?
  6. moses
    For the third time, would someone kindly tell me what a parallel run is?
  7. moses
    Ok, I've heard all the wild excitement about these computer models and their prediction of an a potentially stunning synoptic set up How then, do they compare with Jan '79 Dec 81 or Jan 63 in terms of cold and snow ( Obviously a question for experts) in terms of high pressure orientation/blocking, 850 temps, jet track and longevity??,
  8. moses
    Interesting comparison. Where is the link for historical charts like this?
  9. moses
    PLEASE!
  10. moses
    Would anyone care to eleaborate on these subtle differences? Thanks Guy
  11. moses
    Could someone please tell me the difference between 500 and 850 charts - sometimes the 500 charts have lots of blue - but there are mild temperatures over the same region What 850 temps do we need for snow? What about the figures 530 dam on the 500 charts - what use are they? Also - the phrase "height rises over greenland" - what is this in relation to the charts? thanks Guy
  12. moses
    There were three blackbirds on the lawn this morning, two males, one female - all moving in clockwise circular rotations of 1.04m radius, finishing in an easterly direction bearing 089 degrees. The last time this happened according to my records was ....... AUGUST 1978 , then August 1995.??
  13. moses
    Frankly then : a negative NAO of -0.34 will give what from December to Feb say? A few more frosty days than last year , perhaps a few more snowy days/ foggy days - and that's it Historically, this reading appears much better than many years over the last 20 Should we be reasonably pleased in terms of a reasonably good winter compared to recent years? Guy
  14. moses
    I'm afraid if the models showed -15 temps and arctic lows, the BBC mild rampers would suggests temps at or slightly below average- a hideous forecast that, I think will change, - - like last year's did if memory serves me correctly
  15. moses
    Which charts would be useful in detecting the jetstream
  16. moses
    Looks like it was the 500 instead of the 850
  17. moses
    This is very depressing for Nov 62 Any thoughts
  18. moses
    Cheers mate!!
  19. moses
    Could anyone please explain what these figures mean on the top of weather models eg GFS/ECM etc and what thrie significance is - why two separate readings Thanks Guy
  20. moses
    Who has predicted a negative NAO? I'm surprised no one has mentioned the north atlantic drift or whatever it's called - and the fact that it is slowing down would give us greater chances of bad winters - or is this just the daily express getting too excited???
  21. moses
  22. moses
    What about mild ........above average!!
  23. moses
    Interestingly, when did the met office forcast last winter as being colder than average etc. I remember end of october - but not September - what evidence do they have again?
  24. moses
    Well said....... Simple truth is that the most reliable method is the most useful .... I wonder if someone could put all the scientific methods and find out which is the most reliable - over last 20 say - cause and effect?
  25. moses
    I saw 6 blackbirds on the lawn this morning -5 males 1 female Records suggest this is a 1 in 5 chance of a colder than average winter................
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