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irish1

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  1. ECMWF ensembles much better, less mild options to get rid of and op was near top between 14-16th
  2. 06z ensembles for Southeast Ireland and concrete agreement on milder Sunday but cooler after that and then a lot of options, cooler options outnumber milder but really very uncertain beyond 22nd
  3. ECM ensembles showing good support for back to cold air after a mild blip but lots of options there
  4. ECM ensembles showing huge support now for milder air from Sunday but could be just a blip for a few days?
  5. Track of storm firmly South now, chances of frontal snow look to have faded away but will help keep the cold locked in.
  6. 10% chance now so I think we can be safe it won’t be blowing cold away. Slide baby slide
  7. latest ECM ensembles show good support for cold to last up to 18th. The spike in precip for Southeast Ireland shows risk of low bringing some precip but spread shows how uncertain it is.
  8. ECM ensembles show much more support for cold to last with the OP well supported up to the 16th.
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