Jump to content
Problems logging in? ×
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?

len

Members
  • Posts

    123
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Profile Information

  • Gender
    Male
  • Location
    Co Clare, Ireland

Recent Profile Visitors

2,840 profile views

len's Achievements

Apprentice

Apprentice (3/14)

  • 30 days in a row
  • Dedicated
  • Week One Done
  • One Month Later
  • Five years in

Recent Badges

36

Reputation

  1. RJBingham Why post charts with no indication of what they are please? No info. no dates, just coloured maps! From what source, dates, periods, anomalies, pressure, temps????
  2. He said "Don't worry" that's why it's the "Assures" High
  3. The second two images have no dates or categories! What are they pls??
  4. I visualise the Gulfstream off the Eastern US Seaborad like a wandering, thrashing tail of warm water. The average temperature of the Ocean there blurs out these omnipresent wanderings. So,....... where the tail of warm water currently is- must always be anomalously warm relative to the surrounding water .... And the surrounding water must always be anomalously cool because its average includes times when it is the warm tail. The warm/cool streaks are always there when I look. It just shows you where the warm tail (& Labrador cool tail) is positioned relative to an average of positions. But that part of the Ocean never has a broad, flat average signal
  5. I believe this is the "spread", or variation, in the perturbations ..... of sea-level pressure. So in this instance the yellow area NE of UK is highly uncertain. ie. the solutions here are highly variable. It could be High or Low pressure perhaps. A straw to clutch.
  6. I understand why you might like to regularly post cherry-picked perturbations, but inexperienced lurkers here may not qute understand that you can ALWAYS find whatever you want somewhere amongst the perturbations. Instead of cherry-picking only what you wish for, why not try random-selection, or offset your choice-morsels with the "worst perturbations"?
  7. Knocker....is it possible to send a link for this 240hr percipitation chart. I searched "weathermodels.com" but it seems to be a paid subs? Is that right?
  8. Could someone tell me what "nbsp" stands for? And also "MMW", which is being used elsewhere relating to Strat. issues? Looks like a double whammy from this warming. Not helping Winter; Ruining Spring! Len
  9. I'm posting this here in response to the discussion regarding this paper http://ams.allenpress.com/archive/1520-046...69-22-6-597.pdf .....in the Model Output Thread. I personally think that Winter SW warming events are "linked" with cold winters and that recent "bad" winters were ruined by the strong omnipresent PV. However this paper begins by talking about a mid-Jan 63 warming as contibuting to that phenomenal winter that I remember so well. However the Autumn of 62 had been mostly very cold and the extreme cold synoptics were in place by Xmas day. By mid-Jan we were 3 weeks into an uninterrupted regime of extreme cold. If the Warming takes 2 weeks to alter the synoptics, then we had already had 5 uniterupted weeks of record-breaking cold, by the time the "cause" arrived! Perhaps that winter was caused by other factors. Or perhaps the SSW is not the direct cause? Could it be a parrallel effect caused by a deeper, unknown, cause that promotes cold NH winters? Could it be a "marker" rather than a simple cause? Or a self reinforcing "product-&-further-cause" of cold. Notwithstanding my queries about it "causing" the 62/63 winter I still think it's the best explanation we have for "good" and "bad" winters. Please keep up the info. GP et al. Len
  10. click on the maps here http://www.surf-forecast.com/breaks/Bournemouth-Pier/seatemp
  11. Thanks to both you & MWB. Much clearer. I get it about 80% now! Hope it helps others.
×
×
  • Create New...