You are well respected on here here Chio as is TEITS and i admire both of you for your u/s of the models, however are you saying that the current Strat effect has been responsible for the current weather we are experiencing ? Forgive me if i am wrong but i am led to believe that we are only really going to feel the effects by the end of the month, so jury is still out, i think this is still very much a learning curve for all, if we see cold weather and heavy snow !!!, which is sooooooo very subjective depending on your age, in Feb then i think the whole Strat thing may be vindicated, however if we do not then in my eyes this Winter should be classed as normal, as the Strat effect viewed with caution, as i say it depends on what you are comparing to !