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ghrud

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Everything posted by ghrud

  1. Records to beat: - 19.7degC 67.5degF Greenwich (London) 13 Feb 1998 19.5degC 67.1degF Tivington (Somerset) 13 Feb 1998 19.4degC 67degF Cambridge 27 Feb 1891 19.2degC 66.6degF March (Cambridgeshire) 23 Feb 1990 18.9degC 66.1degF Harestock (Hampshire) 28 Feb 1891 18.9degC 66degF London; Brixton 10 Feb 1899 18.9degC 66degF London; Greenwich and Northolt 28 Feb 1959 http://www.torro.org.uk/maxtemps.php
  2. I think there might be a minus sign hiding under the snow somewhere!
  3. Better keep an eye on the weather
  4. Best example of how a models accuracy fades the further ahead you look!
  5. Over what period of time has this data has been accumulated. Whats being compared?
  6. If you mean this... ...maybe some sleety rain for the high ground.
  7. ... and then low leaving eastern seaboard USA on strong jet, flattens ridging high and we're back to square one.
  8. No north side. Drifting snow settles in the shelter of objects that break the force of the wind.
  9. Translate please.... its okay answered my own question. CONUS = Contiguous United States
  10. "slightly below normal for the north and Ireland, but slightly above normal for the south" so the emphasis is average temps for now then.
  11. "Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW) can take anything from a few days to a few weeks for this process to take place." Quote from metofficenews In in which case an effect may take hold in 15 days from now if prediction verifies or well into March. The warming being model here is not in our half of the Northern Hemisphere... d'you think this would also be a negative?
  12. UK Outlook for Tuesday 14 Jan 2014 to Thursday 23 Jan 2014:On Tuesday there will be some rain over northeast Scotland and showers in the west and southwest. However eastern parts are likely to be fine and dry, with frost and a risk of fog patches at first. Strong winds and further rain, heavy at times, are likely to spread from the southwest during Wednesday. Through the week it may become cold in the northeast, with strong easterly winds and wintry showers. Western and southwestern parts are probably going to be less cold and cloudier with further rain. Later in the month it is likely to become less cold and more changeable, with sunny spells and showers or longer periods of rain, these perhaps more likely in the northwest. Updated: 1149 on Thu 9 Jan 2014 Sorry, but not cheered by this too much. I live in Hampshire. But who knows?
  13. cyclonic happiness, on 18 January 2013 - 20:04 , said: Nice trough coming over central England tomorrow, that should give a few more surprises? I thought that indicated it was a upper front that is not in contact with the surface and is riding over the top of the colder air.
  14. It ain't over 'til the fat lady sings! MORE runs needed But I like this one...
  15. Shannon entropy is the average unpredictability in a random variable. Sorry just noticed others have already answered this.
  16. SSW is the bonus, nothing to stop us having normal winter weather maybe mild maybe cold.... even cold enough for snow. Still need to wait and see where the centre of high pressure is going to build.
  17. Yes I agree it is okay to mention the SSW as is part of the weather systems and will have an impact. I think the point being made though is that too much hope is being pinned on an event that may well have no effect at all in this part of the world. It’s being treated as a panacea for all our cold winter (lack of) woes. Let’s talk about it, but not like it's the answer to the world the universe and everything.
  18. Use the right bate and you’ll catch a lot of fish (not Michael). I still think too much hope is being pinned on the SSW event. Raise your expectations too high and it will hurt even more when we miss out… yet again!
  19. Hope I'm wrong, but it seems many are pinning too much on the sudden strat warming event forcast and the possible effects it may have.
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