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mountain shadow

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Everything posted by mountain shadow

  1. mountain shadow
    As ever, any proper cold stays past day 10, so the risk of snow and ice remains very low. In fact, I'm seeing more evidence that the Iberian ridge will have more influence than Northerly blocking.
  2. mountain shadow
    First 20 - 25th March First 25 - 26th April First 30 - 31 May
  3. mountain shadow
    MJB More likely than a White Christmas of course.
  4. mountain shadow
    Lukesluckybunch But of course, the cold never arrived.
  5. mountain shadow
    rwtwm More human input needs to be given to the model output. For starters, any predicted decrease in the Iberian Desert High should be amended to increase it instead.
  6. mountain shadow
    CryoraptorA303 And this on the back of almost all long range forecasts and teleconnections predicting colder than average prospects for February. Very, very scary what is coming.
  7. mountain shadow
    Global warming saving on those heating bills My Mrs has told me to get the grass cut tomorrow, in the middle of February! Never done that before.
  8. mountain shadow
    northwestsnow The former drops the Iberian heights whilst the latter maintains the Iberian Desert High at 1030mb. Only one winner. San Sebastian up to 22 degrees tomorrow.
  9. mountain shadow
    feb1991blizzard Great to see, but I guess like most, lets get in inside 5 days before getting excited.
  10. mountain shadow
    raz.org.rain Indeed, and when the Atlantic does try and push in, the potential for extremely severe thunderstorms increases hugely.
  11. mountain shadow
    Met Office philosophy must be to keep on forecasting cold with Northerly or Easterlies until it actually occurs. Just goes to show, that even though they're Professionals, they have no clue either.
  12. mountain shadow
    stewfox Winter runs from December to February and always has. Whilst March may produce the goods, that is Spring. So, unless there is some miraculous change in the model output, there will be no proper cold for the rest of the month and therefore Winter.
  13. mountain shadow
    For me, it's the expansion of the Hadley cell in Southern Europe such that the Iberian High has become an almost permanent feature and is turning Spain into a desert. This expansion means the jet stream struggles to undercut into Europe and the real cold is kept in Scandinavia. The Iberian High is now so powerful that it easily suppresses any influence by the teleconnections etc..
  14. mountain shadow
    Lukesluckybunch The Iberian Desert High courtesyvof the expanded Hadley Cell due to AGW again scuppering all favourable projections and teleconnections. The Spanish may be facing a horrendous drought.
  15. mountain shadow
    JoeShmoe For me, of course I'll be back, however, it will be with increasing scepticism about what the longer range models and teleconnections show. Unless there projections are off the scale, then much less heed should be paid to them. The warming world just makes it so much more difficult for us.
  16. mountain shadow
    daz_4 The Iberian High rules supreme. Nothing can stand in its way.
  17. mountain shadow
    WeatherArc Yes, the Winter killer permanent Iberian High trumping all that is thrown at it by SSWs, EAMTs, MJOs etc.
  18. mountain shadow
    Wasn't even close here.
  19. mountain shadow
    So, snow level is about 800 feet then? Ain't going to impact very many then.
  20. mountain shadow
    Epic fail on the snow forecast for today. Seems short term modelling is just as bad as long term.
  21. mountain shadow
    Some fella on the Welsh forum lives at 1000 feet in Snowdonia, and it's rain for him, so what hope do we have?
  22. mountain shadow
    Chris.R I think the front is moving North quicker allowing less time for the colder air to undercut.
  23. mountain shadow
    cheshire snow indeed. I'm at 420 feet here in the Castlereagh hills and have gone from 36 hours of snow to 100% rain. The precipitation has arrived early here and it's all rain.
  24. mountain shadow
    Precipitation has arrived early here and it's 100% rain at 420 feet.
  25. mountain shadow
    Not a snow symbol in sight for my area now. Rain all the way.
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