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david16

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  1. I remember calling the Glasgow weather centre 041 code about 25 years ago in the days before premium rate 0891, 0898, 0906 etc came into being. Those were the days.
  2. It's what the synoptics are that determines what the weather is going to be like. Stratospheric warming and -ve NAO do mean the Britisn isles are not guaranteed to be just like an atlantic weather island for virtually 3 months Decemeber to February every winter, even if the mild moist atlantic weather with winds from the SW/W/WSW/SSW/S is course the default as we are all well aware. Some warmists on here dismised the idea that such classic winter synoptics could ever happen again in "so called" modern British winter let alone be sustained. Well what's this weather we've been having? Proves the warmists totally wrong. I wouldn't be too quick to assume we will be back next winter to days and week on end where in some places it may never fall below +10C both day and night under a continuous blanket of thick grey cloud spread in from the atlantic.
  3. This month looks like it the weather equivalent of trying to lose weight when on a diet, you look certain to lose it on this weeks official weigh in this Saturday compared to last Saturday (you were 2 or 3 lbs less on Thursday on the scales than you were last Saturday), but then a party night out on the Friday where you spoil yourself silly with food and drink (including 4 pints of beer or lager) ruins it completely and you have put weight on compared to last Saturday come the Saturday weigh in. And it looked so promising for so long.
  4. In recent times, normally we would have killed for a current CET of 4.5, but considering that the 1st half of December was the coldest start to a winter for 30 years, it's tinged with disappoinment especially considering the normal CET for the 2nd half of December is usually lower than what this 2nd half of December is going to end up by the looks of it now. While considering how cold it was 1st half of December it was unrealistic to expect it see it fall further or even stay the same despite normal form 2nd half of December is usually lower than the 1st half, but you would have expected it to see it not rise by more than only just a few 10ths a degree, but a full 2C + 3/10ths of a degree rise nearly in less than 10 days it's quite a spectacular turnaround which is unreal considering the norm 2nd half of December CET is not usually as high as it has been since this mid December. It always seems now that it's mild 1st half to a month with a colder 2nd half but not cold enough to get it average or below. Or it's extra cold 1st month as it's been this December, but record mild 2nd half to make up to put it around about average or just over average. Maybe one day we will hit our jackpot yet of a degree or more below average in the winter months. More than 1C below end of a month doesn't seem to be a impossible in the summer. A southerly always appears form nowhere to totally spoil things when it seemed a certainty that it would end up significantly below normal to be classed as truly cold month, it suddenly it ends not quite as below to make it a significnatly cold monith.
  5. It's not the fact that it didn't snow that was the problem. The main problem was that the many people who love the snow were promised by the BBC weather it would snow heavily for a few hours Wednesday night into Thursday even on low levels, not even a mention of rain at all, but it did rain heavily throughout that let so many people down. What Wednesday night/Thursday's fiasco for many many (who missed out after being promised) shows that even now they can't even get the small detail correct. OK, it's only 0.5C out, but 0.5C the wrong way, and when temperatures hovering around freezing it makes such a massive difference, and it magnifies their error.
  6. If only John Hammond on BBC forecast on Wednesday evening didn't wave his arms about like mad in forecasting something wonderful in your area even on low ground like it was with 100% confidence, where it turned out to be heavy rain instead they never even even hinted, it might not have felt so bad for all the folk from the areas that got none at all. But you get used to it after all these years let down by incorrect weather forecasts for your area. The weather systems with snow that missed you that it was more a clipping the east coast coming from the direct north event (at least you know there's 99.99% chance of missing you in inland areas such as Forth Valley being blocked by the high hills and mountains, a wonderful bonus if you even get even get a light dusting and above the wind temporarily veering NE, but nothing falling at all is nothing lost) is not disappointing compared to weather system from a direction you're exposed to comes through and turns out to be a torrential rain throughout the entire event that was supposedly meant to be all snow even at low levels and it's 100% bitter disappointment for everybody who eagerly anticipated the snow, and many of those have not even seen a flake in their area for years. The BBC ought to get the detail correct now in terms of who's going to miss out with such modern advanced technology at their disposal now compared to way back in the 1970's and 1980's. For the BBC to dress up Wednesday night/Thursday's wintry system as a 100% snow event everywhere in the north whatever level in relation to sea level when it was clearly very very marginal was very shameful. They could have avoided such anger for those anticipating the snow.
  7. Been there so many times before. Not that it's a surprise to me now, and living in Forth Valley where the map showed a wonderful shade of white bang over where I live about 3am, only rain fell. I half expected it to go pearshaped in my area before it was supposed to happen. Obviously lower lying area, but the weather warning from BBC/Met Office was for snow accumalations of 2 to 5cm even at low levels. Make of it what you will. It seems like the low-middle ground (the 100 to 200mtr ASL range) in some areas that once had an outside chance of a significant heavy prolonged snowfall at one time from similar setups of the past have no chance now i.e. the lowest possible ground ASL for such snowfall has increased significantly. Relying here on it's an unusual setup or the rare Northeasterly to bring such prolonged heavy snowfall here. And it was ideal temperatures for it for days leading up to last night, icy slippery ground with whatever little snow previously fell on the snow/dry boundary. As soon as the precipitation arrived last night the temperatures rose and it fell as rain, and most of the icy stuff that was there disappeared. How did the BBC not pick up on the warm sector that was always going to totally ruin it for the lower lying areas considering that they forecasted snow at all levels in many areas after all. Should the BBC not be held accountable now when it goes so horribly wrong away from higher levels in many places. They have the technology now surely to get such small details correct compared to the 1980's. For them to say heavy snow for your area like it was with 100% confidence, but it's turned out to be torrential rain instead that they never forecast at all is totally unforgivable. It was a big letdown for all of those anticipated the heavy snowfall on the forecast to happen and missed out.
  8. Mauybe it won't, but the Unisys chart looks a bit different to recent times at this time of year, and not just the (ever shringoing) small area SW of the British isles which is shrinking. but it must give cold lovers a lot more hope than in many many recent years. Of course I'm not anticipating a 1963 or 1979 or whatever. I appreciate ther norm is a 2 or 3 month atlantic conveyer belt bar the odd brief northerly and the occasional high pressure over us giving us the only cold weather we are likely to have, and the SST anomllies could change to their norm December to February. But if we get a week or 2 of cold snowy weather and then spells of 3 or 4 days here and there it would be a bonus and make a pleasant change from the norm. Of course not likely, but you never know if SST anomolies where they matter stay colder than normal during the winter months. Dark green/yellow on the SST anomoly chart around the icelandic coasts for 3 months December to February is not a pretty sight if you don't want to see non stop atlantic weather sweeping constantly across us for days and weeks on end. It's just that I hate the SW stuff being our almost exclusive weather during the winter months as they have been most of the last 20 years. And just to keep the "It'll never snow again, global warming!" fraternity quiet if we do get a bit more prolonged widespread snow than we have had in recent time, more in hope than expectation of course.
  9. Very interesting bottom map, that's for sure. The British isles predicted to be at or below the season average this coming week. Can it last or intensify I wonder as we get closer to and into winter. Looking at the Unisys SST anomolies. Some blue east of greenland. Possibly if that spreads eastwards onto the icelandic coasts and intensifies, there will be less chance of the icelandic low forming then dominating proceedings entirely in an icelandic low and azores/bartlett/euro high combination as we go through the winter months. The greenland high saying hello to the scandinavian high for more than just the occasional brief glimmer wouild be a very welcome boost for the UK this coming winter.
  10. You would think surely that the cold anomoly SST's SW of the UK if it persists would be a barrier to the usual seemingly never-ending conveyer belt of low presure systems sweeping across the UK during the winter months. We live in hope based on that cold anomoly persisting that the yuck for once is not as long lasting or as intense as it has the last 2 dismal British winters.
  11. Even more frustrating is that the synoptics of early this month of that eastlery lasted less than 36 hours, as long as a brief northerly and lacked punch other than for the elevated parts. At one time such synoptics would have brought prolonged heavy powder snow for a while even to unelevated levels and then it would have been below freezing for at least a couple of weeks with the chance of more moderate or heavy powder snow, then there was eventually battlegorund between the east and the atlantic with the low pressure systems trying hard to move in, before the atlantic finally win, even then it snowed for a time before it finally turned mild again but we didn't have to wait that long before that next spell of bitterly cold weather from the east. Now in Jan 2008, after the 36 brief hour (in the main toothless) easterly, the atlantic suddenly charged back in, with a true spell of easterly weather (if any eastery spell at all) looking very remote. Early Jan 2008, it was more like a kitten pawing rather than the undisputed world heavyweight champion showing his class. That's the depresssing state of affairs it is now. Even the polar maritime we've had here in Scotland the past couple of weeks hasn't delivered to unelevated levels of Scotland the way it did in 1984 e.g..
  12. Looking at the oceanweather website, there never seems to be much problems in West coast America with the Pacific beside us though with the southern point of the ice at about 60 degree north being not much further north than us compared to the flippng North atlantic where away from between North East America and Greenland, the southern point of the atlantic ice to the North is at least 10 degrees further North. It's just us with that flipping gulf stream have to suffer constant non stop mild zonality (Maritime tropical) for days at this time of year with the abnormally warm North Atlantic. It's not exactly constant moist subtropical maritime @ 50 to 60 degree North RE the Pacific at this time of year the way it is with us.
  13. If there is severe snowy weather in a certain part of USA, is it true that we can get it in 10 days time or so?
  14. About time January lived up to its billing again to kick this so called global warming into touch. +2.6C. And colder still here in Scotland.
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