AlexL

Hopefully the trend has reversed eh? Even still I've just about given up on seeing any significant snow next week here. The south always gets it anyway.

Well what do you know, the low is marginally further north at T+60.

You had me fooled for a minute there.

If the trend means anything at all, then the Wednesday/Thursday feature is going to end up missing the UK all together, and only bring the precipitation to the Southern fringes of the UK. I can't decide whether this is a good thing, as although we will be exposed to the cold easterly air quicker, and for a longer duration, bringing the odd snow shower for eastern parts, I fear that when the next system rolls in off the Atlantic with a more Northerly track, it will just smash through the cold air, and give rain to lower levels. Of course I shall wait for the run before drawing any conclusions.

If I remember rightly, the ECM 00z operational was a big mild outlier. I think it's quite likely that 12z operational will be following suit, since it likes mimicking the 00z so much. Cue tumbleweed.

-1.1C