Cleeve Hill

It’s coming I’ve seen enough over the last couple of days to say the patterns shows signs of change as we get into early Feb. History says Valentines days is often one of the coldest times of the year. That feels about right for 2024.

Hi Blue Not really. Lots of tentative ideas for sure but certainly not as bullish as METO. I'm not being critical at all and when I look at the models we can see a pattern change in time but the signal I see is not as clear and straightforward for NW members to call it as the METO are. I hope they're right.

The next 2/3 weeks will be a good test for the METO updates we see. I haven’t seen any of the contributors on this site suggest a colder pattern emerging for February, which is very different to how METO see things. I guess once the cold in the U.S moves on and the North Atlantic quietens down with the vortex moving away from Canada/Greenland there will be a chance of HLB to develop once again. I have little faith in the EC46 as I’ve seen that go bust many many times but I am v interested to see how the METO long term forecast pans out.

These are excellent and would recommend everyone has a listen. Puts things into perspective and avoids the granular detail after the model runs. Broad scale overview of the season is best. Certainly leaves the impression they are expecting proper winter conditions not just in the next 10 days but the risk continues through until the end of Feb.

Wouldn’t that be great. Steady as she goes and starting to remind me of similar undercutting events of the early 80’s. It’s also a waxwing winter in uk with year with so many moving out of Scandinavia. In the 80’s it was a Scandi high which delivered on a few occasions, but a similar set up with a robust Greenland high would also deliver for some of us.

Just seen this on Twitter. Good news I’d say.

If anyone wants a snow fix take a look at the cameras on the Levi WWW.LEVI.FI Majoitus, aktiviteetit, ravintolat, hyvinvointi- ja muut palvelut - kaikki helposti yhdestä paikasta. Me autamme lomasi suunnittelussa ja toteutuksessa.

Lovely, nothing mild about that. Liking the charts tonight and it seems we’ve got agreement on the way forward.

Show me a chart at T360 that has ever verified. All the background signals and @catacol post this morning shows there a lot of interesting things going on which should impact UK in the coming weeks. I used to look at EC and GFS charts at T240 thinking they were going to materialise but 10 years on netweather tells me that’s very unlikely.

Can’t see there is a thread for this so here goes. This seems to be a Mast year for nuts (acorns) and berries (hawthorn and holly trees are loaded). Is this Mother Nature providing for birds, small animals for a hard winter I wonder.

Hardly any rain today. Brightened up this afternoon in warm sunshine, but now I hear rumble to thunder. Surprisingly nice day

Right over head here with some big rumbles.

Three fine weeks on this occasion. Looking forward to the change.

The fun seems to start at 195 hours on the 12z. 8 days away. I’ll be watching.

Hmm. 50+ CM expected in French alps between now and Wed 11th. Freezing level around 1000M. see snowforecast.com

We’ll said on your last point. I volunteer for The Trussell Trust North Cotswold Foodbank. We’ve had our busiest Xmas ever and over the year 120% more food parcels issued this year than 2021.The cold snap was tough for a lot of people and this is the Cotswolds not town’s or cities. Merry Christmas all

It’s worth listening to. Always educational

Try and get up there tomorrow. Sun will be out. The sky cleared this afternoon up here, explains why it’s gonna be a v cold night

Points west going for -8 tonight in Gloucestershire. Brrrr. Here’s a pic near Cleeve Hill this afternoon. -4 sun was out. Fabulous Another couple of days before we lose it. It’s been a great cold spell

That Artic High is pushing the cold air to lower latitudes. Boom time for the Scottish ski industry.

Nortenham Hill, close to Cheltenham Race Course. Beautiful. Still snowing.

Hi Blue. Definitely no yellow snow/ice warning or forecast for Cheltenham. Love your input.

Yes, the forecast for here was cold and dry, but as you said there is a trough above so why the cold and dry forecast? It’s been snowing on and off since 7.00 this morning. Good snow on Cleeve Hill. Odd forecast.

If you run the radar loop, it seems to be pivoting. You must have a lot on the ground there