I see the UKMET again is forecasting for a milder winter. Normally i would agree, but this year see chances of a much colder winter than they seem to let on. Surface Sea Temps have never really rose this year around the UK, and Arctic circle after a cooler summer than previous years. NAO index showing signs of going negivate this winter. During the first weeks of Autumn, frosts have been noticable, over parts of Northern England and thoughout the spine of the UK, where in recent years there has been a lack of Autunm frosts. This all helps to lower the Sea Temps even more, and helps change the weather patterns to a more cooler theme. However during next week, Temps appaer to raise to just above average during the day, and losing some night time frosts. A brief look and the Climate Forecast and has started to inicate a cooler theme this year. My Outlook: More setteld than last year (not so windy) and more frosts during November and December. I think the chances of some cold and very cold weather late winter has increased, and will go for, perhaps a 1991 flavor. The Metoffice forecasts a drier winter than last. This is not too hard to forecast, given the amount of rain we had last year. (i think even my 5 year son could forecast that). I will go for an drier start to the winter, with High pressure domitaing, and a wetter than average end, with a large high pressure block. Your thoughts?
