SLEETY

Lukesluckybunch laughable difference between its earlier run,that had minus 8 upper air over uk now list completely flipped showing milder weather moving North. Models are just useless when not faced with mild weather Synoptics ,don’t expect the final outcome to be decided for days.

Cloud 10 the HLB returns for spring again,never saw it all winter apart from briefly in early january.

colder march than feb just gone coming up,not a surprise,here comes the HLB once Winter ends again/

4.9c 95mm Here comes all the HLB once winter ends again.

and here comes the change to winter again as winter ends,

Lukesluckybunch winter is done mate,see you sometime in spring when Northern blocking becomes the dominant force again

probably may when we get a decent greenland high,like we did a couple of years ago.too late then for anything exciting

The way Ecm flips and flops in the later time-frames, might as well ignore it after 144 hours. Frustrating model like to know where it sits in the verification stats, currently

Ecm mild outlier at the end, so heoefully it's wrong again

RJBingham gfs been chucking out mild op runs for days,and why you just showing gfs,what about the other models t.ECM looks much colder,in the longer range expect perfect charts for cold and snow as winter ends,thats what normally happens. the obsession some people have with gfs is mindblowing

ecm day TEN keeping the fading dream alive

how have we gone from snow on the beach and -7c at the nearby airport here,in Early jan to possibly the mildest feb ever,love to see the temp spike from the cold spell to now. When we go mild in winter now,its just goes extremely mild and always lasts at least twice as long as cold spells,reason we have rarely any below average winter months for ages. my 7,2 c prediction looks too low!!

Rob 79812010 is it because your using the gfs op to come to that assumption.op was a mild run from the pack.gfs worse performing in the verification stats too.If gfs op only went to 168 hours we wouldnt have this overreaction to every gfs run Stop looking at the op runs and thinking thats the final solution,doesnt work like that.

Ecm op run mildest run again, right at the top again. What a surprise NOT!!

no ecm is junk from start to finish,miles away from a decent cold-spell having said that dont think later in the week is nailed yet, despite the massive backtrack of ecm and ukmo towards gfs