Danno

Nice warm spell the last few days... Met Eireann station recorded 25.4c on Friday.

Where are you?

Divis mtn is beside the City at nearly 500m, also to the south, the Mourne Mountains reach nearly 900m.

Got a 53mph gust ten minutes ago!

Wind picked up here after 3.30pm... got a 47mph gust a few minutes ago! 14.0c. It was only 12.3c an hour and a half ago, this wind had brought milder air.

I had forgotten about my membership here until somebody posted it on the IWN!

Down to 7.1c at 4.15pm, representing a 6c drop in 45 minutes! It was 7.4c at 4pm.

3.50pm and it's 8.2c, almost a 5c drop in 20 minutes!

Now 9.1c at 3.45pm, exact 4c drop in 15 minutes. Rain rate of 174.2mm/hr recorded as the front passed over, it really only lasted a minute or two!

Passing over here now, gone from 13.1c to 12.1c in three minutes! At 3.30pm it was 13.1c, at 3.35pm it was 11.4c now its 10.4c at 3.41pm!

Currently 13.4c, winds SSW 30mph, gust of 46mph earlier. Overcast but dry. The squall is only 30 miles or so off to my NW behing the Slieve Bloom Mountains...

Tomorrow night still looks very interesting... 0c dewpoints or lower all over Ireland *AND* the Irish Sea, that should mean snow showers possibly even at sea level. -10c upper air temperatures hugging the east coast, will mean superb bubbling up of showers IMO. 528 Dam line is near the Shannon. Pressure though is rather high at 1024hPa over Wexford, but hopefully things can still kick off.

About as much chance as yea have of winning the Leinster SHC in 2010!!! :yahoo: Seriously though, you have a moderate chance - your 90m ASL is good, but 10 miles from the coast is just borderline. 50/50.

Good morning. I have just read the Met E forecast there... This is a forecast that covers a 30 hour period! They are unable to call it at the moment, plain and simple.

brilliant 00z run, esp for ireland even out into fi.

I would like to throw my hat in the ring and call it more or less nailed on. All the numbers do stack up. All the boxes are ticked. Why I am pretty sure is because... 1. We have seen in the past (Oct 2008) that this did happen under conditions less favourable than now... 2. NW Russia temperatures are in the -40c's, which is what we are drawing off of... 3. SSTs are rather warm in the Irish sea which will fuel the showers... 4. Wind directions are excellent - an easterly, turning northerly, then easterly once more... 5. Even at the 60km GFS is forecasting very convincing cold for here. Most of the lat/long calculations are offshore for Ireland. i.e. People might look at the min/max temps for Dublin and see 4c, but the actual sweetspot for the calculation is some miles off Greystones out in the sea. Bring it all on!!! * * - hopes not to have to eat the same hat come this day week!!!

That image just screams Polar Low potential.

Brilliant 18z run!!! Snow from Thursday right out to Dec 27th! Yipee!

Right, 48 hours to go for this one. According to todays Midday GFS output there is a strong chance of snow showers in the southeast for Thursday evening... Pressure will be 1022hPa and falling, Upper air temperatures will range from -25c at 500hPa to -8c at 850hPa, dewpoints will be 0c or lower everywhere in Ireland excluding the extreme coastal locations of the SE and SW. Air temperatures will generally be 3c to 5c at 6pm, dropping to 0c to -2c later. I think with SST's (Sea Surface Temperatures) at 8c or 9c in the Irish Sea, with a very cold airmass overhead, that the neccessary ingredients are in place for snow showers over the SE, areas I feel will get hit will be counties... Dublin, Kildare, Wicklow, Carlow, Wexford, Waterford, Kilkenny, Laois, E Offaly and E Tipperary.

Evelyn was a tad more upbeat tonight - more emphasis on the cold rather than snowfall though. Last night, weekend highs of 4c were on the TV, tonight it's 3c... an upgrade!

Looks like a good event, whens the next un?

Rain from time to time. Light enough thank God.

Oh no, don't drink the Guinness in Cork (Corcaigh) it's all Murphys or Beamish down there. Mind you, it's not a bad substitute for the black stuff from the pale either. With the mate now built from Urlingford to Cork City, I might headder on down there too. How did M-8 translate to mate :D