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Cycles

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    Ocala,Florida USA
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    Formed Global Weather Osscillations Inc. in 1992 with the understanding that weather and climate occurs in cycles, and if you have a very good understanding of the natural forces that control cycles, you can forecast climate well into the future. Mr. Dilley's research on the Lunisolar Precession has provided this understanding. My research is incorporated into forecast models for hurricane forecasting, earthquake forecasting, regional historical flood forecasting and climate change. Author of the online paper "Natural Climate Pulse" and the eBook "Global Warming Global Cooling " in 2007 and recently released a complete rewrite and update in January 2012. The new climate handbook is called "Natural Climate Pulse". Research discussed within the book encompases about 15 scientific fields and ties everything together into a package called "climate change". Remember, everything in life and weather comes in cycles, some are just better than others.

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  1. You are correct. I am used to oversimplying for some lay people I talk to. Should not on this forum.
  2. You are somehwat correct. First of all we have the earth's mantle and crust. The plates ride on the outer core which is liquid hot iron. Being liquid it can expand or contract in correlation with changes in the gravitation field. Being mostly iron, it can likely undergo changes due to the electromagnetic field from the sun, and changes in the electromagnetic field and gravitation as the moon passes between the earth and sun (disrupting the electromagetic field). Thus with the plates riding on this liquid iron....the plates can and do move. By correlating historical earthquakes (in a region of concern) you can track the earthquakes through time. I have been extremely successful tracking the Californian major earthquakes (6.4 and greater) through time, thus providing a forecast for the next 6.4 or greater with a 90% reliability.
  3. Yes, it is in my newest paper. It is on my website at www.globalweathercycles.com , look in the browser menu at the botton under "Natural Climate Pulse". There is a charge for the paper though. I do not receive grants, so this research was totally funded by my company, and is not afflliated with any political parties or other companies. Totally unbiased and is a collection of about 50 other papers by researchers and my research.
  4. Actually human generated CO2 is not all that bad either, good for photosynthesis. Non CO2 pollution is not good though.
  5. We have had high carbon dioxide and methane levels before, and no runaway global warming. At the peak of the interglacial periods that come approximately every 116k years the temperature is at its peak with CO2 following by 200 to 800 years, sometimes even longer. But the world temperatures then begin falling toward the next ice age, but wow, the CO2 remains high for a few thousand years but does not stop the temperature drop. If CO2 is the cause for warming, then the temperatures could not drop with high CO2....this puts the AGW theory, and I mean therory, totally illogical. Earth will have rapid cooling by around 2020, maybe even sooner. This cannot be stopped by the CO2. And we are heading toward the next ice age...although it is still 30-40 thousand years away. If we ever find out CO2 keeps temperatures up (and this is doubtful), we should put as much into the air as possible so we can avoid the next ice age.... but this is all silly.
  6. No the Sun does not cause volcanoes, no one said it does. But the gravitation changes due to the Lunisolar Precession due have a correlation with volcanoes and especially earthquakes.
  7. This is highly unlikely. Both the quiet solar cycle and the phase of the Lunisolar Cycle will completely overshadow anything man has done. I have been traveling with speaking engagements with John Casey author of the Cold Sun. He and I used slightly different approaches but came to the same conclusion on the upcoming dangerous global cooling cycle. Both of us know there is a high degree of liklihood of a historically large volcano occuring in conjunction with cooling. This has occured following the prior 5 global warming cycles since 900AD. The combination of the natural cooling cycles and Lunisolar Precession stress on the earths crust and mantle will likely cause this volcano...as large or larger than Tambora in 1815...then a year of no summer and crop failures. It is all covered in my paper "Natural Climate Pulse" which is available on my web site.
  8. Rather difficult to explain if you have not read my new paper. But essentially what I did is apply my research to the reported occurences of the North Atlantic warm water pulses that entered the Arctic near the years 1990, 1999 and 2008. First I compared the warm water pulse dates to my Lunisolar Precession research, then applied it to pulses going back through each global warming cycle since 800 AD. Provides a valuable clue and insight into what may be controling the Arctic metling and the 10-year global warming spikes which occur on every global warming cycle (recurring every 230 years). Regards Cycles
  9. You are correct. I am referring to the paper by Polyakov published in May 2011. Fate of Early 2000s Arctic Warm Water Pulse Aigor V. Polyakov, Vladmir A. Alexeeve et al, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 92 Number 5, May 2011.
  10. And you are correct about the paper by Polyakov. However, I tied some of my research into it. By doing so, I do believe that I am able to add more to our knowledge concerning the warm water pulse. David
  11. As you may recall I said 5 years ago that phase II cooling would not begin until about 2020-23. Now more researchers are coming out with the same forecast as mine. Have outlined the cycles in my newest rewrite and update of my original eBook. The paper is called "Natural Climate Pulse".
  12. A North Atlantic warm pulse of water entered the Arctic in 2008 and will take about 13-years to circulate the Arctic and finally die out during the 10th to 13th year. What this means is continued melting in the Arctic until the warm pulse diminishes. The ending of this warm pulse coincides with both the new Maunder minimum and the Lunisolar Precession cycles...both of which indicate an end to the warm pulses and rapid global cooling setting in by about 2020.
  13. Boar: Has anyone had problems with their antivirus? This is the first report I have had. Cycle
  14. Would like to pass on this information about a new climate publication called "Natural Climate Pulse" Handbook to understanding what is actually going on with our climate (major update to the original eBook released in 2007) <P> The Big Political "Hoax" about Carbon dioxide and temperature WHAT THE MEDIA IS NOT TELLING YOU! <P>.. topics in this Handbook include scientific evidence showing ..Carbon Dioxide is actually a good gas Where Carbon Dioxide comes from, and the carbon cycle and temperature Manipulated Censorship of scientific research and mediaEarth was actually warmer 1,000 years agoThere was actually less ice in the Arctic 6,000 years agoCarbon Dioxide levels are actually the same today as 1,000 years agoCyclical 100 year fluctuations in Carbon Dioxide levels are normalWhat is actually causing the Arctic ice to meltWhat are the actual causes for Global warmingClimate forecast Very Dangerous Global Cooling Coming Soon Great volcanoes and a Year of No Summer More Dangerous than - global warming</P>It can be found at http://www.globalwea...imatePulse.html If we can designate one person on the forum to review it, I can send a pdf copy. Regards Cycles
  15. Natural cycles of the earth,moon and sun. Earth is very much like a living organism, it needs sleep or rest periods which lowers it temperature, and warm robust periods which raises its temperature. These cycles come approximately every 72 years, 200 years, 1500 years, 110k years and 450k years. The earth's temperature and carbon dioxide varies during these cycles, it always has and always will. And earth needs carbon dioxide to thrive, higher levels translates to robust plant life and more oxygen. Lower levels during ice ages translates to less carbon dioxide in the atmosphere, and less plant life, and a lowering of oxygen. The earth moon and sun has hundreds of cycles which produce more radiance, more gravitation, all of which cause cycles.
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