mrchoosy

If you watch the radar loop zoomed in to BA20, very interesting to see the rain movements

thunder to my west rumbling away last 10+ mins.

2 flashes and rumble of thunder around 1430 ish in Yeovil, Somerset.

I wasn't discussing cities in the uk. The south west is suffering still since December. Somerset and other parts of the sw region have suffered from excessive rain, wind and sea conditions. Mismanagement by government who don't care about rural areas. Political parties look after London and the north but don't care about other parts. Mulchelney cut off for three weeks and counting, if someone has a medical emergency the air ambulance gets called in. If flooding gets worse over the next 10 or 20 years the m5 could be compromised. No upgrade on strategic A303 coming to provide contingency to access in and out of the South West. People's lives down here are badly affected, farmers livelihoods regarding crops and animals by flooding. Homes and businesses damaged etc. I'm afraid people saying America didn't do this and London ok due to barrier doesn't help your fellow countrymen here.

http://www.westernga...tail/story.html planning for possible involvement of armed forces to assist in Somerset according to BBC news tonight, due to heavy rain forecasts. 3 weeks and people still cut off. if this happened in another country i.e the USA and fema a state of emergency would be declared for the county. Government a disgrace

Pleased you staying Ian. The jet stream roaring in on top of us by the end of the week may enhance what we do receive from up above which we dont want. South Somerset does not need any more rain. People are struggling round here, and the fields are still soaking wet.

can confirm bout 15 flashes and deep long rumbles of thunder in Woolacombe in the last hour and a half. reasonable amount of rain has fallen, big spots too. No cgs spoted but only my 2nd storm seen this year on the peninsula naughty cider enduced type! its cider not cidre

Hello everyone, hope all are well. Plenty of weather to come, be it cold or not. Interesting site to share with you here - http://www.stormsurfing.com/cgi/display.cgi?a=brit Decent wave heights on the north coast of our peninsula at the moment, up to 15ft high. Check out the model animation when next weeks system moves towards the UK.

Have any of the model experts looked at the jet stream forecasts recently? To my untrained eye, the jet will be over the UK for at least the next week or so, which I guess will be a factor, regardless of models x, y and z predict. I would be interested in hearing from ch, jh and other respected posters on this

light persistant rain for last 15mins and breezy with temp of 18c and dp of 13c. grey and mucky cloud cover. Last night at same time was better with a few cgs and rain horizontal for 5 mins.

Thank you for that John. Will look forward to more of your lrf musings in the future here.

That will be the fact we are in the Blackdown Hills precip shadow. dewpoint and temp still not good according to my weather station, maybe the next wave approaching Honiton may give us a better chance of snow later tonight.

Thermohaline Conveyor:Rain and Sleet under a boundary of -7 DP of -1/0 and a 2mT of 1 - 3 - any remotely moderate PPN will fall exclusively as snow. I think all this talk about warm sectors is not really understood fully by some. The air is certainly milder than the surrounding air that the low is moving into, but when this air is -10/-11 and -12 the actual warm sector is -7 or -8 which is a nice required snowfall parameter - regardless of whether it is a warm sector relative to it's environmental." hope i dont get told off for this but this quote from another forum site. TC is quite well known to certain people.

2009 total was 767mm Yeovil, Somerset

As an irregular poster, id like to say thanks to Ian F for his informative insight from a professional. Im sure the other regional sub forums would love someone like him on their boards. Interesting times ahead for sure, the devil in the detail will be last minute for sure.