-
Posts
498 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Profile Information
-
Gender
Male
-
Location
Milton Keynes
-
Interests
Weather
Squash
Darts
football
Cooking
Contact Methods
Recent Profile Visitors
swilliam's Achievements
-
Model Output Discussion - Into 2024
swilliam replied to Catacol's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I think the op is the most important because it's the one that started with the real data (and the control). All the other runs are started with adjusted data so the op is the real one if you like. -
Storms and Convective discussion - June 2023
swilliam replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
All building nicely here in Milton Keynes . Started with a single cloud about 2 and then built in situ -
Model Output Discussion - New Year and Beyond
swilliam replied to BlueHedgehog074's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Yes it was cluster 4 in the ECMF ensemble that was shown earlier (7 members) but not so fast -
Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
swilliam replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
I would just like to mention that this very simple representation is a bit misleading in that the grey areas are percentiles (90% I think). If you look at all the runs the op is not an outlier in the true sense of the word (as in the most extreme solution). It is of course at the top end though. -
Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
swilliam replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
Looks like west based -NAO -
Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
swilliam replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
You can clearly see where the uncertainty lies with the link up of the low and the low heights to the North -
Model Output Discussion - the cold has arrived
swilliam replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
-
Model Output Discussion - moving into Winter
swilliam replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
-
Storms and Convective discussion - 1st August 2022 onwards
swilliam replied to Supacell's topic in Storms & Severe Weather
Close one in MK 20221023_181307.mp4 -
Model Output Discussion - Autumn arrives
swilliam replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
-
Model Output Discussion - Autumn arrives
swilliam replied to Cheshire Freeze's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
-
Model Output Discussion - Early Summer and Beyond
swilliam replied to mushymanrob's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
-
Model discussion: Hunt for cold - into February
swilliam replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
could be some records broken if this came off. Looks like an extra tropical hurricane with 130km/hr winds separated by stillness in few km Probably just a GFS special of course. -
Model discussion: Hunt for cold - into February
swilliam replied to Community Team's topic in Forecast Model Discussion
December was pretty much on average though.