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swilliam

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    Milton Keynes
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  1. I think the op is the most important because it's the one that started with the real data (and the control). All the other runs are started with adjusted data so the op is the real one if you like.
  2. All building nicely here in Milton Keynes . Started with a single cloud about 2 and then built in situ
  3. Yes it was cluster 4 in the ECMF ensemble that was shown earlier (7 members) but not so fast
  4. I would just like to mention that this very simple representation is a bit misleading in that the grey areas are percentiles (90% I think). If you look at all the runs the op is not an outlier in the true sense of the word (as in the most extreme solution). It is of course at the top end though.
  5. You can clearly see where the uncertainty lies with the link up of the low and the low heights to the North
  6. Nice Genoa low in FI - just what we want with corresponding -10s coming into Scotlad
  7. That is some Northerly following the hot plume. GFS even has snow for the highlands
  8. could be some records broken if this came off. Looks like an extra tropical hurricane with 130km/hr winds separated by stillness in few km Probably just a GFS special of course.
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