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Barometer Obama

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Everything posted by Barometer Obama

  1. Barometer Obama
    Initial burst here in Locks Heath of heavy sleet with thunder and lightning to boot.
  2. Barometer Obama
    I can there is no turning you! But you are correct in that you must never get excited about a snow event until it is virtually upon you. Just watch the BBC forecast on the morning of the Jan 2010 event, they got the snow but the areas worst hit weren't predicted until it was pretty much happening...
  3. Barometer Obama
    Don't give up yet. The models all have the low on a slightly different track, yes it may go Pete Tong but it is too early to write it off.
  4. Barometer Obama
    The ukmo is sticking to pretty good for us. Even somewhere between the two would probably work. I just hope the gfs is heading in the wrong direction
  5. Barometer Obama
    the worry is the gfs and Ecm are pushing it further west, that trend needs to change.
  6. Barometer Obama
    you'll be fine. Outside lane and stand on the accelerator with hazard lights on.
  7. Barometer Obama
    Not the best of set ups for south coast, very different to the awesome event Jan 2010. The wind that supplies the fuel is the very thing that will hurry it through. Blink and we may miss it. Still, subtle changes could make a significant difference.
  8. Barometer Obama
    Congrats to Channel Islands. Got to say I'm gutted for S coast, this would have been incredible if the low had come through the channel rather than the Loire valley. Conditions in Locks Heath perfect for snow, DP -7, air temp -2! Bit of light snow all morning, but nothing exciting. People of Guernsey & Jersey send us your pics...
  9. Barometer Obama
    Blimey it looks tight. Close but no cigar?! Off to bed and dreaming of waking to find the track of the low 100 miles further north, it could happen... BO
  10. Barometer Obama
    DP -2, AT 1. Wind NNW, Raining...
  11. Barometer Obama
    Hi mate, I'm on a late. It is not raining in Locks Heath yet. DP -2, air temp 1, wind straight out of the north
  12. Barometer Obama
    I'm not an expert, but I've endured previous snow events and more commonly near misses. The danger for us on the coast comes from the fact that the wind in the middle part of the day is from the South, it will veer more easterly in the afternoon. Looking on the GFS the 528 thickness line is actually slightly inland, this is another negative for snow. As we get close to the event I would suggest going on weatherunderground and watching to see signs of the dew points rising in the west. And of course look on this forum, to follow progress. Hopefully by this evening the actual track will be pretty accurate and will know where is likely to get smothered! Anyone who says it WILL snow or it WON't SNOW for us on the coast is guessing, it will be very much a fingers crossed job. Next week looks very exciting if things don't quite go peoples way tomorrow.
  13. Barometer Obama
    I agree, I don't think the BBCs forecast of earlier today was massively out. I'm certain that by morning Dorset will have more to show than Hants.
  14. Barometer Obama
    Is it just me, or isn't Dorest going to get the heavier stuff? Looking at a few radar images, and while I admit its a little further east, so far than predicted the heavy band to the N of Ox is heading for Dorset not Hants. Stopped here for the moment.
  15. Barometer Obama
    Holding at freezing here. Still light snow too.
  16. Barometer Obama
    Snowing in Locks Heath! DP -3, air temp 0, room temp 18, beer temp 15! As others say wind is perfect, ENE hear and very light.....Get in!
  17. Barometer Obama
    The BBC have been very progressive for this to be a snow event. I know the 528 dam line isn't crucial but we don't get until after the precipitation has moved through. This is a bit similar to saturday into sunday just gone where the temps plummeted after the event as the HP over Scandy reasserted itself. One thing on our side appears to be that the coastal breeze will have more of an East to it than saturday night. On another note the UKMO has the heavy precipitation to the west as the front kind of bumps off the cold air and heads off with its tail between its legs in a SW direction (see link). So even IF we get the snow it may be very light the further east. Maybe this could turn into an event for our very patient friends over B'mouth/Poole way.....Weymouth...surely not? Just my thoughts http://www.meteociel...ech=6&archive=0 go to 36-48 hrs
  18. Barometer Obama
    Wish I could disagree, but a downgrade certainly has been issued. However, the models are keeping high pressure to our North and while this situation remains, the chance for further snow cannot be ruled out. BO
  19. Barometer Obama
    Well done to all those who got snow, hopefully are turn on the coast will come. We live in hope, however, reminded of being careful what I wish for seeing what is happening in Eastern parts of Europe at the mo! Went over to the IW this morning and the Canoe Lake at Ryde is still frozen! Amazing how just being the wrong side of marginal can have such a different result. BO
  20. Barometer Obama
    eI think this is referring to the track of the low which will pass across the IW and head across to NE France. This will mark the end of the precipitation but crucially change the wind direction back to E or NE. This will drop the temperatures and hence the worry for ice, particularly a problem for those of us who had rain!
  21. Barometer Obama
    Very difficult to call at this stage and it could all fall apart. However, if the trend maintains with an atlantic block then just watch the fax charts for short waves from the continent middle to late part of next week. So potenitally close to your birthday...
  22. Barometer Obama
    Its been mentioned at by others recently, but for anyone feeling down in the dumps with the rain just look at the ECM @ 144. The Atlantic door couldn't be more shut! I know its a bit out in the distance but with that LP centred over europe I'm getting that Dec 2010 feeling, if it comes off nobody on the coast will be worrying about rain. Apologies for the RAMP. Back to reality; Still rain in Locks Heath with DP about to meet the air temp @ 1.5, wind solid from the south. I guess this won't change until the low sinks south during the early hours. Reports of snow in Fair Oak which is no more than 10 miles north of me.
  23. Barometer Obama
    Great post OMM Lets hope nobody get freezing rain!
  24. Barometer Obama
    Hi Mate, where abouts are you? Eastleigh? Romsey? BO
  25. Barometer Obama
    Raining in Locks Heath, air temp is starting to fall back, now 2. However, DP 0 and currently rising further. Early days, just need the DP to go into reverse and S wind to veer. Fingers crossed
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