snowbob

Well I’m off to euro disney on Wednesday so will like the push just as it is south east London will probably get hammered now just hope the tunnel don’t get closed our end otherwise I will have two very disappointed children on a rainy morning

Yep can see it tomorrow already…. uk to face a 1500000 tsunami snowstorm metoffice finally respond actual hour snow attack will hit……. then You read the article and metoffice “say may turn chilly” in the north. lol

Depends how hungry you are I suppose

Agree. from what I have read it only affects the predictions but not the actual weather on the ground. So more of a red herring couple of model related days then,normal service resumed.

Yeah same I just googled the same thing. Just goes to show how complicated our atmosphere actually can be at times. And I was just getting to grips with all the shortwave dramas. So much science we just don’t understand right now and to think there are still impacts that we still have not discovered amazing really

Yeah I think we did. My point was that model predictions such as the infamous cold chase that we all crave this time of year could well be skewed because of it. Especially the last two days. So yeah the prediction and not the actual outcome. Which causes alot of toys to be thrown around in here.

Thankyou for replying and I do agree it’s just that apparently this particular solar flare was indeed that rare one you speak about. we shall see I guess if It does have any impact at all in the models,or it will just be another part of forecasting that adds to the confusion of being accurate

Indeed agree with everything you say there. But what it does do is interfere with electric readings of our atmosphere such as satellites and weather stations which will almost definitely skew what we see down here with all the super computer technology. It is indeed a science that even nasa has said needs a lot of research in to. it almost certainly does impact weather predictions as it’s electromagnetic.

It has happened yesterday I believe which may explain a turnaround for our weather chances. Every cycle of atmosphere has a part to play in our weather on the ground surely.

I’m sure this is model related but I have just read that the sun has just erupted the biggest solar flare in years. To the point that the met office are monitoring a possible geometric storm on the 17th of December. Surely that wil be having an impact on the models right now. I believe I read a while a go that solar flares can scupper and confuse models to the point they fluctuate from mild to cold outcomes quite frequently.

I blame brexit wr could have tapped into those cold uppers a lot quicker if we were still part of Europe the models are shrouded in red tape we should now call mild westerlies the Boris effect On a serious note with one model screaming mild and one model screaming freezing that should tell you all you need to know its all up for grabs

With respect and I mean with respect saying your not interested in cold without snow is like saying you don’t like football unless there is just penalties for the whole 90 minutes. there is so much more to model watching than just the highlights. models are just doing the same thing they do each winter they show us gold but produce 4th most times but this winter maybe they are on to something. there are some really great knowledgeable posters on here that I’n my opinion are great at reading the models (I for one have been trying for years and are no where near the talent on here) if anything this winter is an amazing learning curve so far

Hi guys looking like the models are worth keeping an eye on. out of hibernation now ready for all the shortwave dramas at 24 hrs in

I honestly think that this first low is not going to push up as far as the models are showing this will in turn keep colder air on all of Southern England it is underestimating this arctic push

Left for work this afternoon and it was proper snow settling on me as I was walking there is definitely model confusion here and to be honest with all the best technology in the world we will never know til 0z love it Imo it’s already colder in my location than has been stated all week on models let the fun begin

Old school head on this won’t be resolved until at least a few hours will it push up north won’t it forget the models radar and window now time for surprises

Would love the ecm 12z to look like that in 48hrs time Experience tells me it really won’t happen like that

The last few days I have read more posts about the cold breakdown than anything else Cmon people let it get here first snow in December was never forecast in any models but yet look at what fell the cold may retreat next weekend it may not.no model knows just yet. Nowcast from Sunday night as far as I can see that is the most accurate model your window.

The gfs really not leaving this gonna be another 0z to see if there is any weight to this will it won’t it easterly Garden path 2

Well I for one am totally amazed that the gfs is going for it again @Met4Cast great commentary on models today really informative but am wondering if you had a sneaky fiver on gfs being wrong lol

The met were not onboard with the snowfall in London until last minute in December, so this still unresolved by all models until at least tomorrow night I would say

Thankyou really appreciate you taking time to put it that way really does help An amazing setup we have this winter. The northern hemisphere is crazy bottled up .it’s like a serious pressure just waiting to release. it’s just where is that pressure going to escape too cheers mate

Have also noticed that mostly the states seem to be very cold but don’t look to be getting much snow bit like the week we had here in the uk just cold but nothing to stick in the memory banks snow wise

Haven’t got a clue what your talking about But A I want to learn and B it sounds promising

Pub run special to the fridge can always rely on my fridge but the thing is it always disappoints me with the 0z run go to bed all happy then tomorrow it’s empty what the