Pessimistic BBC forecasts.

[Addicks Fan 1981]

I don't know about you guys and girls but I have found the BBC forecasts very pessimistic lately, overestimated cloud amounts and often play catch up until they are parallel with other forecasting sites like the met office, accu weather and the weather channel.   

They've also underestimated temperatures lately too and overplay the rain, I can only assume they have bugs on their computers which they should arrange to be fixed.   

When BBC had the met office as their data provider there were more bug fixes than there is now, no disrespect to BBC weather, but I think they need to go back to having the met office as their data provider.   

[Weather Enthusiast91]

Anything BBC related isn't fit for purpose nowadays. But I am finding that many weather forecast providers have been pessimistic just lately. For example, this week was supposed to be unsettled according to forecasts, but in reality it so far hasn't been that bad. Whilst there has indeed been some rain, there have still been some sunny spells and it certainly hasn't been a washout.

Edited May 15, 2024 by Weather Enthusiast91

[Addicks Fan 1981]

 Weather Enthusiast91  wonder if its to do with their administration that they forecast negatively? It would be very interesting to know.  MeteoGroup have been a disaster and yet they claim to be better than the UKMO because of having more data, yeah right ️.    

[NeilN]

My advice, stop watching the BBC and don't pay the licence.

[sunny_vale]

I've thought the exact same thing! They used to be the opposite

[Met.]

It depends where you live, here, the BBC has verified better with the rain frequency than the Met O, even today, the Met O is telling me it's 18°C and light cloud; it's actually 13°C with moderate rain.... this was often the case back in April as well.

[richie3846]

Back in the day, we had national and regional forecasting for the day and a few ahead, and that was about the limit of the detail. None of this hour by hour analysis of every single location in the UK. IMO, weather forecasting apps are giving people a false impression, that forecasting is actually capable of the level of detail offered by the apps. The amount of detail offered in the hour by hour spot forecasts is beyond the capacity of accurate forecasting at the moment. Yes, sometimes it's right, but as soon as there are showers, or uncertain cloud levels etc, the whole thing falls apart. 

Lay people seem to get really bogged down in the detail. 'Oh, I thought it was meant to rain at 4pm' type thinking, with no clue of the underlying mechanisms of how weather forecasting and uncertainty works. I'd go as far to say that the creation of hour by hour forecasting for spot locations was a mistake, and it's creation preceded the underlying ability for accuracy.