Storms and Convective discussion - June 2024

[StormLoser]

Friday. Showers and.......no Met Office Yellow warnings? I'm shocked!  

[Turquoise]

Any reason why there hasn't been a convective forecast today or a even a thunderstorm warning as a lot of weather apps are predicting the chance of thundery downpours.....maybe they thought we won't bother this time as we all know it will be Lincolnshire that gets all the storms as per usual lol

[Supacell]

 Turquoise Maybe there is nobody available to do one. Estofex seems to have gone part time and all the forecasters on here do forecasts voluntarily and therefore won't do them if they don't have time.

NickF is in the US chasing, Eagle Eye is poorly and Convective Weather don't do forecasts anymore as Dan has moved on to bigger and better things. I don't have the forecasting skills to do a proper forecast, it'd be guess work using the models, but I'll try.

Today is a day of sunshine and heavy showers, some of which could turn thundery. With weak deep layer shear and only slight CAPE I don't expect much more than weak thundery showers though, some with hail. Pinpointing where storms will be most likely is hard, although with a SWly flow it does favour Eastern England, so Lincolnshire would be a good bet. Eastern England also benefits from a bit more time of surface heating so that may bolster CAPE a bit more.

To be honest I'm hoping for a change in the weather so we can get proper thunderstorms interspersed with hot sunshine. April showers in June don't really do it for me.

[Turquoise]

 Supacell yea that makes sense, thank you 

[Arnie Pie]

Later this afternoon may produce

[MP-R]

Looks like things have kicked off around Glastonbury.

[Rush2019]

 MP-R   yes,  Strikes near Aylesbury and up in the NE,  north of Alnwick.

[shunthebartlett92]

Very showery here today, good soaking so far

[Andy Bown]

 MP-R 2 weeks early

[MP-R]

 Andy Bown Ha! Maybe a dress rehearsal

[ChannelThunder]

Further sporadic lightning looks likely on this feature as it pushes east along the south coast this afternoon and into the evening. Arome picks it up quite nicely but UKV doesn't really spruce it up until it's into Sussex late evening.

[TJS1998Tom]

Seeing some beefy showers on the radar nearby. Dark clouds looking north 

[Robert1981]

This at postwick (Norwich) at 14.15pm some heavy showers around but no lightning so far. 

[Rush2019]

Some nice convection now in most directions, has been a little showery here.

[Arnie Pie]

 Rush2019 Now that looks Pokey

[LIGHTNING ACTION]

took a slow mo off my iphone on this single cell in my area last night, absolutely stunning, just wanted to share and today looks good over here too

 

 

 

[TJS1998Tom]

Was expecting to see more thundery activity on the radar by now but mostly just seems to be heavy showers

[shogan83]

Nice looking angry Sky but sadly nothing exciting other than a beefy shower!

[matty40s]

Certainly looks tasty North of Northampton...

[ChezWeather]

Rumble of thunder here from a passing shower

[Metwatch]

Few showers about earlier with one passing within a mile of here but otherwise nothing to write home about. Some interesting looking convection in the distance too later on.

[laddie]

Hearing rumbles to the SW of Peterborough 

[CoventryWeather]

 Metwatch saw that last cloud too in Binley earlier, pretty cool!

 

Not much happening though, been out of town so missed most of the showers today. Bit of convection to the south but under a lot of high citrus from the stuff near Northampton. 

[The PIT]

Well we brewed a Thunderstorm to the ESE of us which was unexpected. The action started after it past the station so no lightning strikes observed.

[Daniel_c150311]

very dark clouds approaching.