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Posted
  • Location: Hessle
  • Weather Preferences: Cold Snowy Winters, Hot Thundery Summers
  • Location: Hessle
Posted

image.thumb.png.15d405b1730932abee32552442c8b29a.png

Last table update of the month from me. It looks as though the CET will drop tomorrow with a cool night in store. Some warmth midweek in places though not lasting long.

A CET around the 16.9C / 17.0C mark looks likely.

  • Like 1
Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
Posted

And there’s me when we were approaching the second week into the month, I thought my 17.3c would be too low….it proves how much it can change 😉 

Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
Posted (edited)

Sunny Sheffield down to 16.8C +0.2C above average. Rainfall 24mm 34.9% of the monthly average.

Looking like we will finish around 16.5C and 16.7C so average with well below average rainfall.

Edited by The PIT
  • Like 1
Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
Posted

A finish anywhere between 16.8 and 17.4 a good bet I say. Hard to call, we have a couple of cool CET figures ahead, today and yesterday below average, then a probable stall, with perhaps a slight uptick - not expecting any significant heat remainder of month now. An above average August but not especially so. I suspect the overall mean for summer 24 will come out very close to the 81-10 average.. anyone have a watching brief against 61-90, 71-00, 81-10 and 91-20 means?

  • Like 2
Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington
Posted

17.3 to the 24th

1.5c above the 61 to 90 average

0.6c above the 81 to 10 average

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 2
Posted
  • Location: Coventry, 95m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Snow Nov - Feb. Thunderstorms, 20-29°C and sun any time!
  • Location: Coventry, 95m asl
Posted

Should the August CET finish at 17.1C, then the overall summer CET will end up at 15.8C. That would make this summer the coolest once since 2015 (15.38C) and 2012 (15.34C)

Summer CET averages:

1961-90: 15.3C

1971-00: 15.5C

1981-10: 15.8c

1991-20: 16.0c

  • Like 2
Posted
  • Location: West Yorkshire
  • Location: West Yorkshire
Posted
On 21/08/2024 at 01:06, WYorksWeather said:

The top 10 to end of August (including 2024 to 20th August) are below:

  1. 2022 - 11.79
  2. 2020 - 11.53
  3. 1990 - 11.43
  4. 2014 - 11.41
  5. 2017 - 11.34
  6. 1846 - 11.32
  7. 2007 - 11.28 (T7)
  8. 2024 - 11.28 (T7 - incomplete)
  9. 2003 - 11.27
  10. 1868 - 11.26

To the 24th August, 2024 has risen to 5th place at 11.38C. I'll keep tracking this to the end. Given how quickly the average may rise in the coming days with a couple of very warm days, I now expect that 2024 will finish in either 2nd or 3rd.

Quite surprising really that even after a highly unremarkable summer, 2024 will still rank very highly in CET to date. Shows how mild late winter and spring was.

  • Like 2
Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
Posted

 Metwatch Thanks for that, thought it will end very close to 81-10 average, possibly equalling it. 

Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
Posted (edited)

Sunny Sheffield down to 16.7C +0.1C above average. Rainfall 24.1mm 35% of the monthly average.

Lasting zone for us looks to be between 16.5C and 16.7C so average and dry.

 

Edited by The PIT
  • Like 2
Posted
  • Location: Edmonton Alberta(via Chelmsford, Exeter & Calgary)
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine and 15-25c
  • Location: Edmonton Alberta(via Chelmsford, Exeter & Calgary)
Posted

August has been a much more average month following on from a record busting July here in Edmonton...mean temp stands at 17.1c which is +0.1c above normal and had 65mm of rain thus far against the long term average of 61mm..there is a bit more rain in the forecast mid week..so will end up around average for temp maybe slightly wetter than normal

Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington
Posted

17.1 to the 25th

1.4c above the 61 to 90 average

0.4c above the 81 to 10 average

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 2
Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
Posted

Also 0.2 above 91 to 20 average. 

EWP was near 46 mm and is expected to add only 2-4 more to end a bit below 50 mm. Will amend provisional scoring at end of tracker on 2nd. Only minor edits will be needed if so. 

 

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1
Posted
  • Location: Bexhill-on-Sea, East Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Winter Snow, extreme weather, mainly sunny mild summers though.
  • Location: Bexhill-on-Sea, East Sussex
Posted

 cheeky_monkey Same as our CET as of yesterday, 17.1c.😀

Posted
  • Location: Islington, C. London.
  • Location: Islington, C. London.
Posted (edited)

A rather wet July in an overall dry summer it looks like. Indeed, a large chunk of the rain fell in the first half of July and most of the summer has been dry here.

Edited by LetItSnow
Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
Posted

Sunny Sheffield down to 16.6C bang on average. Rainfall unchanged.

  • Like 1
Posted
  • Location: Leighton Buzzard, Central Bedfordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Just take whatever is offered.
  • Location: Leighton Buzzard, Central Bedfordshire
Posted

 LetItSnow the summer may actually come out sunnier than average as well.  Also its had some things in common with summer 2002, its been a very similar summer to 1990, 1998 and 2016 all roled into one season.    

Posted
  • Location: Helensburgh,22 miles from Glasgow
  • Weather Preferences: Snow,snow and....a bit more snow
  • Location: Helensburgh,22 miles from Glasgow
Posted

I’m guessing this is very region specific though?

Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
Posted

17.1 to the 26th

1.3c above the 61 to 90 average 

0.5c above the 81 to 10 average

0.2c above the 91 to 20 average

  • Like 3
  • Thanks 3
Posted
  • Location: West Yorkshire
  • Location: West Yorkshire
Posted

Question is whether tomorrow will be warm enough to allow the CET to stay at or above rounded 17.0 come month's end? Today's figure in two decimals is 17.10.

  • Like 2
  • Thanks 1
Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington
Posted

17.1 to the 27th

1.4c above the 61 to 90 average

0.5c above the 81 to 10 average

  • Thanks 2
Posted
  • Location: Hessle
  • Weather Preferences: Cold Snowy Winters, Hot Thundery Summers
  • Location: Hessle
Posted

Looks like the CET will probably finish on 17.0C, maybe 16.9C if the nights come in cooler then expected.

Caps off a very bland summer but one of two halves here, the first half poor the second half great.... but little in the way of interesting weather.

Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
Posted (edited)

 Derecho Very bland and drab all round, a summer that many in years to come will struggle to remember given the lack of anything interesting. 

On the flip side we've been spared any extreme events. Limited heat, storms/flooding. Very very average throughout and quite unusual in this respect.

In the Lake District either consistently very poor or poor though. 

Edited by damianslaw
Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
Posted (edited)

 

Preliminary rankings for CET, EWP and best combined

based on 17.0 C and 48.7 mm, to be adjusted ... late forecasts are ranked in order of error not total score, combined rank total adds 2 for one day late. (^ note)

17.0 is now confirmed. 

 

Rank __ CET_EWP _ FORECASTER (order of entry) __ EWP rank __ combined

_01 __ 17.0 _ 77.0 __ DR(S)NO ( 11 ) ______________________ 35 ____ 36 ____ t-7th best combined

_02 __ 17.0 _ 79.0 __ Jonboy ( 32 ) ________________________ 37 ____ 39 ____ t-10th best combined

_03 __ 17.0 _ 75.0 __ mulzy (L1-1) _________________________33 ____ 38^___ 9th best combined

(04)__ 17.1 _ 73.0 __ Consensus ___________________________ 29 ____ 33 ____ eq 6.5 best combined

_04 __ 16.9 _ 88.0 __ StretfordEnd1996 ( 13 ) _____________ 45 ____ 49 ____ 18th best combined

_05 __ 17.1 _ 45.0 __ Leo97t ( 14 ) _________________________ 06 ____ 11 ___ 2nd best combined

_06 __ 16.9 _ 50.0 __ catbrainz ( 19 ) ______________________ 03 ____  09 ___ best combined 

_07 __ 16.9 _ 88.0 __ Summer18 ( 22 ) ____________________ 46 ____ 53 ____ t20th best combined

_08 __ 16.9 _ 70.0 __ The PIT ( 23 ) ________________________ 23 ____ 31 ____t-5th best combined 

_09 __ 17.1 _ 82.0 __ Weather Observer ( 30 ) _____________39 ____ 48 ____ 17th best combined

_10 __ 17.1 _ 76.5 __ Metwatch ( 42 ) ______________________34 ____ 44 ____ 15th best combined

_11 __ 16.9 _ 71.0 __ Let It Snow ( 59 ) ____________________ 25 ____ 36 ____ t-7th best combined

(12)__ 16.8 _ 81.0 __ average for 1994-2023 ______________ 37.7 __ 49.7 __ eq 18.3 best combined

_12 __ 17.2 _ --- --- __ Typhoon John ( 29 ) _________________ ---

_13 __ 16.8 _ 85.0 __ John88b ( 38 ) _______________________41 ____ 54 ____ t-22nd best combined

_14 __ 17.2 _ 89.0 __ rwtwm ( 44 ) ________________________ 48 ____ 62

_15 __ 16.8 _ 61.0 __ Midlands Ice Age ( 46 ) ______________15 ____ 30 ____ 4th best combined

_16 __ 17.2 _ --- ---__ damianslaw ( 48 ) ___________________ ---

_17 __ 17.2 _ --- --- __Mark Bayley ( 56 ) ___________________ ---

_18 __ 16.8 _ 90.0 __ Daniel* ( 58 ) ________________________ 51 ____ 69

(19)__ 16.7 _ 82.3 __ average for 1991-2020 ______________39.1 __ 58.1

_19 __ 17.3 _ 50.0 __ dancerwithwings ( 1 ) ________________01 ____ 20 ____ 3rd best combined 

_20 __ 17.3 _136.0__ virtualsphere ( 12 ) __________________ 57 ____ 77

_21 __ 16.7 _ 56.0 __ Feb1991Blizzard ( 39 ) _______________10 ____ 31 ____t-5th best combined

_22 __ 17.3 _ 68.0 __ February1978 ( 57 ) _________________ 21 ____ 43 ____ 14th best combined

_23 __ 16.6 _ 85.0 __ Jeff C ( 7 ) ____________________________ 40 ____ 63

_24 __ 17.4 _ 74.0 __ summerlover2006 ( 3 ) ______________30 ____ 54 ____ t-22nd best combined

_25 __ 17.4 _ 39.0 __ SummerShower ( 18 ) _______________14 ____ 39 ____t-10th best combined

_26 __ 16.6 _ 95.0 __ Frigid ( 25 ) __________________________52 ____ 78

_27 __ 17.4 _ 85.0 __ Mr Maunder ( 45 ) ___________________42 ____ 69

_28 __ 17.4 _ 77.0 __ davehsug ( 49 ) ______________________36 ____ 64

_29 __ 17.4 _ 60.0 __ Don ( 54 ) ____________________________13 ____ 42 ____ 13th best combined 

_30 __ 16.6 _ 61.0 __ Godber 1 ( 55 ) ______________________ 16 ____ 46 ____ 16th best combined

_31 __ 16.6 _ 88.0 __ Ricardo23 (L1-2) _____________________ 47 ____ 80^

_32 __ 16.6 _ 71.0 __ summer blizzard (L1-3) ______________26 ____ 60^

(33)__ 16.5 _ 75.6 __ average for 1981-2010 ______________ 33.3 __ 66.3

_33 __ 17.5 _ 69.0 __ bobd29 ( 2 ) _________________________22 ____ 55

_34 __ 17.5 _ 35.0 __ B87 ( 4 ) _____________________________18 ____ 52 ____ 19th best combined

_35 __ 17.5 _ 82.0 __ BlueSkies_do_I_see ( 28 ) ___________ 38 ____ 73

_36 __ 17.5 _ 45.0 __ Addicks Fan 1981 ( 34 ) _____________ 05 ____ 41 ____ 12th best combined

_37 __ 17.5 _ 73.0 __ seaside60 ( 51 ) _____________________ 29 ____ 66

_38 __ 17.5 _ 85.0 __ J10 ( 52 ) _____________________________43 ____ 81

_39 __ 16.5 _ 90.0 __ summer8906 ( 43 ) __________________ 50 ____ 89

_40 __ 17.6 _ 67.0 __ snowray ( 16 ) _______________________ 20 ____ 60

_41 __ 16.4 _ --- --- __ Kentish Man ( 47 ) __________________ ---

_42 __ 17.7 _ 43.0 __ Shillitocettwo ( 15 ) _________________ 12 ____ 54 ____ t-22nd best combined

_43 __ 16.3 _ 87.9 __ Roger J Smith ( 36 ) __________________44 ____ 87

_44 __ 16.2 _105.5__ Polar Gael ( 27 ) _____________________ 54 ____ 98 

_45 __ 17.8 _ 56.5 __ Reef ( 31 ) ___________________________ 11 ____ 56

_46 __ 17.8 _ 72.0 __ Emmett Garland ( 50 ) ______________ 28 ____ 74

_47 __ 17.9 _ 44.0 __ sunny_vale ( 9 ) ______________________09 ____ 56

_48 __ 17.9 _ 74.0 __ Steve B ( 17 ) ________________________ 31 ____ 79

_49 __ 16.1 _ --- --- __ Summer Sun ( 40 ) __________________---

_50 __ 18.0 _ 50.0 __ weatherfor ducks ( 37 ) _____________ 04 ____ 54 ____ t-22nd best combined

_51 __ 18.1 _ 50.0 __ Earthshine ( 5 ) ______________________02 ____ 53 ____ t-20th best combined

_52 __ 15.9 _ 97.6 __ Kirkcaldy Weather ( 41 ) _____________53 ___ 105

_53 __ 15.9 _ 71.0 __ Cloud2 ( 53 ) _________________________24 ____ 77

_54 __ 15.8 _ 45.0 __ Neil N ( 24 ) __________________________07 ____ 61 

(55)__ 15.7 _ 82.9 __ average of all data ___________________39.3 __ 94.3

_55 __ 15.7 _118.0__ I Remember Atlantic252 ( 21 ) _______ 56 ___111 

_56 __ 15.6 _ 75.0 __ stewfox ( 6 ) _________________________ 32 ____ 88

_57 __ 18.5 _ 35.0 __ WYorksWeather ( 33 ) _______________ 19 ____ 76

_58 __ 18.8 _ 72.0 __ Stationary Front ( 8 ) ________________ 27 ____ 85

_59 __ 19.1 _ 55.0 __ Methuselah ( 10 ) ____________________08 ____ 67

_60 __ 19.1 _ 36.6 __ cryoraptorA303 ( 35 ) ________________17 ____ 77

_61 __ 13.9 _ 90.0 __ syed2878 ( 26 ) ______________________ 51 ___112

_62 __ 13.7 _112.0__ chilly milly ( 20 ) _____________________ 55 ___117 

=========================================

59 on time CET forecasts and 54 EWP; three late forecasts, totals 62 and 57.

________________________

(to be adjusted as necessary)

 

Edited by Roger J Smith
  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1
Posted
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
  • Location: Longden, Shropshire
Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, Derecho said:

Caps off a very bland summer but one of two halves here, the first half poor the second half great.... but little in the way of interesting weather.

For me personally I would say it's been a fairly decent summer overall, except for the first half of July which was rather poor. 

Looks like summer will have a CET very close to 2002, which had a slightly warmer June, but this year had a slightly warmer July.  August 2002 had a CET of 17.0C, so this month likely to be very close or identical.

Edited by Don
Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
Posted (edited)

 Don In truth it's been a rare summer that has been average in temperature and average in feel as opposed to say 2015 which was nominally pretty average but poor in feel. 

All three months have been episodic with a below average and above average half. 

Edited by summer blizzard
  • Like 2

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