Storms and Convective discussion- August 2024

[matty40s]

All of a sudden , large drops of rain have cleared the riverfront bars of Kingston. Wind is more Northerly than the east it has been all day, but Heathrow hasnt changed the approach direction yet. 

Hoping for a dry morning, as doing the tidal part of the Thames to Brentford, after that, bring on the storms.

[viking_smb]

 matty40s enjoy mate

safe navigation 

[Southern Storm]

The band or rain/showers in the western channel looks to be intensifying, interestingly this doesn't seem to have been modelled very well.

It will be interesting to see how that band develops 

Edited July 31, 2024 by Southern Storm

[Handry Outlook]

A convective outlook has been UPDATED AGAIN

Valid: TMR 00:00 -23:59

Two RARE HIGH risk have been issued due to increasing confident of the development of SEVERE thunderstorms across parts of southern England.

Convective Outlook UPDATED: High risk 01/08/2024 00:00 - 01/08/2024 23:59

HANDRYOUTLOOK.WIXSITE.COM

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UPDATE (22:55): Two HIGH risk areas have been introduce as there is a high likelihood of SEVERE thunderstorms developing across parts of central southern England and southeast England. Flooding (50-50 mm...

 

[ChannelThunder]

 Southern Storm looks good for Cherbourg. North end of it is weak (of course)

[snowrye]

 ChannelThunder was just thinking that myself, ran the radar sequence, and it's got a north easterly tilt on it

[Wold Topper]

 Handry Outlook doesn't quite match Netweather's recent updates? Lets see whom gets this on the money?

[Eagle Eye]

Okay wow

[Thunders]

A tonne of flashes from the south east, south and south west 

[Mapantz]

Current radar with steering winds:

UKV for 4am:

[Southern Storm]

 ChannelThunder I'm the eternal optimist, you never know, stranger things have happened! I also need to remember if it can go wrong for our area, it probably will

[snowrye]

I don't want to say, butttt, Kent clipper 

[Julian 777]

 Thunders yeah seeing them now

[TJS1998Tom]

Just checked the radar and damn that's a nice little storm in the channel, hopefully scenes like that for the UK later

[ChezWeather]

Expecting an early wake up call from some elevated storms, few errands to run then I'm heading south, aiming for Oxford initially, chase on! 

 

Good luck everyone in the SE for overnight tonight!

[Pixel]

at time of writing.. there is teasingly this:

WXCharts v1.0.22

WWW.WXCHARTS.COM

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A new weather forecast model data viewer for Europe and North America. Clickable forecast and ensemble plots, hourly GFS, ECMWF, ARPEGE and GEFS plots

yet the Arome will be worth watching as tomorrow progresses - seems pretty accurate for a few hours out.

Reminds one of trying to pin-point the location of snow 

[Jamie M]

 

Nice frequent display

[Eagle Eye]

More. 

[Tamsin]

 snowrye

Possibly an East Sussex clipper as a cell is forming there

[Cain]

Seems to be stuff popping off shower wise a lot of places I really got my fingers crossed 

[Eagle Eye]

It is incredibly difficult to do with a camera with very little charge anid a phone currently on charge.

 

 

[ChannelThunder]

Sleep time. Another fail here, but tbf the models showed nothing here anyway.

The inland stuff tomorrow should be fun but won't affect me down here on the coast. With that, let's hope next week's return to zonal conditions isn't too long lived and that this therefore isn't the final chance of a plume this year.

Good luck tonight, Kent folks!

[LIGHTNING ACTION]

quite high clouds especially that one in the English channel, wow

 

[Thunderspotter]

 ChannelThunder I'm most likely to do the same if you're going off. Night all, and good luck those that are staying up

[Eagle Eye]

I like storms.